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  #11 (permalink)  
Old 01-13-2010, 11:49 AM
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coops
 
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Where ya been mate?

I'm going broke picking my own. Thank goodness your back.
I've had a shocker the last couple of days. Had 8 bets and no winners. Half of them placed but never placed them. Because I was stupid. I should be betting the way you told us to bet. I'll know next time.

coops
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Old 01-14-2010, 10:03 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by coops View Post
Where ya been mate?

I'm going broke picking my own. Thank goodness your back.
I've had a shocker the last couple of days. Had 8 bets and no winners. Half of them placed but never placed them. Because I was stupid. I should be betting the way you told us to bet. I'll know next time.

coops
I had a shocker last night, until the TAB gave me XMAS early by offering Goodsey an amazing $3.20 FIXED!!!! happy days
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  #13 (permalink)  
Old 01-14-2010, 10:09 AM
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Running total on Best Bets from Jan 5th - Jan 13th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.

Outlay - $4700
Return - $4135

Profit - $565 (-12%)

Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 13th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $2400
Return - $2580

Profit - $180 (+9.3%)

*Best Bets are dogs I view that should not miss a place and generally win. You will see small variance in profit but long term it should slowly rise and shouldnt lose money following these tips.

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Bendigo

Lay - Pure Tonic (Race 6, No.1) - In what has been labelled the watchdog's best bet, I have to disagree. What the form does not really show, is the abundance of speed capable to come from boxes 1-4. Corporal Bond (Box 2) gave us a glimpse last week of how he can begin when not quite holding out Just Eileen and Guitar Hero and Pure Peaches can come out running too.. Watch for Krebs to carve across from the pink. Whoever survives the early scrimmage will win, as their are no notorious swoopers in this race, but when they will more likely send this round an even money shot, Id prefer to put my cash somewhere else.

Best - Graceful Amy (Race 9, No.2) - Racing against the likes of Jarvis Bale, Guacamole and Tafari Bale. In a race lacking any early speed in the inside boxes, Graceful Amy should be able to find the early lead and if it does its strength over the longer trips will show and it will win.

Value - Krebs (Race 6. No.8) - In the same race as my lay, I think this greyhound will get a dream run out wide. Loves the track (17 starts for 2 wins and 8 minors), has a very nice PB of 24.29 and has been there abouts lately.

Maitland

Lay - New Divide (Race 9, No.3) - Young dog who recorded a very slick win at the Gardens at his second start. This will ensure he starts odds on and first look at Maitland from a squeeze box with direct speed on your inside will mean he won't have the race handed to him on a platter. There are 2 or 3 dogs who I am sure can match it with him.

Best - Little James (Race 4, No.1) - At his top this brilliant short course specialist would blow them away. There is only one query. He has had 4 months off the racing scene. However, he returns fresh, draws a fantastic box and if he has come to race, he will prove far far too superior.

Value - Hassell (Race 3, No.5) - Notorious slow beginner who gets warm in the middle of races and charges home late. Has been racing on the tight Wentworth Park circuit lately and has been running well. Will be suited by the big wide Maitland track and the extra distance suits. Mrs Trickett will start short, with Bread and Butter second pick, so definite value for this runner.

Angle Park

Lay - Springvale Dash (Race 6, No.6) - Struggled last start when never out of trouble. Also, spiting it because it cost me probably around $700 haha. Box 6 has done it no favours in a race where there is oodles and oodles of speed and if this dog cant get in front of High Earner, which it wont, it has no chance of running it down.

Best - High Earner (Race 6, No.4) - This looks a stand out for me. Awesome run last week when it did loads and loads of work behind Dyna Lachlan and still was only beat 2 lengths in a breathtaking BON of 29.50. This dog is absoultely faultless over the first 100m, and even with Manuel Bale and Sunny Boy Love inside of him, he should be able to work to the front by the first turn and that will be that. If you can get anything better than $3 on fixed betting, have a crack.

Value - Remo Rubik (Race 5,No.7) - In what is a super race, Remo has been boxed beautifully out wide in the fact that Drink Driver isnt the worlds best beginner and Rev Limiter will take one step left as soon as it leaves the boxes, so this will give Remo Rubik every possible chance going into the first turn. Dyna Lachlan will start favourite but will have to stave off all the speed that will come from Where's Diamond, Boozeroo and Fevolution. No trouble out wide, and an awesome 29.38 Sale winner after having to do work shows he can still run a strong 500 out. Currently the 10/1 outsider in hotdog and if you get that, giggle away.

Adelaide Cup Predictions

Semi Final 1

Great race, where I am going to put my best value bet of the day on top. See reasons above. I think Dyna Lachlan may find trouble early and be giving Remo Rubik too much of start. Boozeroo is a powerful bitch who has run some sizzling times in Adelaide so she will definetly be in the mix. Rev Limiter is dodgy at box rise and tends to cut left straight out of boxes, but will chase all day long.

Remo Rubik, Dyna Lachlan, Boozeroo, Rev Limiter

Semi Final 2

High Earner is one super talented pup with El Galo like box manners. This should put him in as a red hot favourite to take out this heat. I think Manuel Bale will get squeezed out early with Sunny Boy Love holding the fence behind High Earner. Outwide, Springvale Dash and Dyna Forte will more than likely get beaten for speed early but they are both strong and will be scorching home out wide on the track at the end of the race.

High Earner, Sunny Boy Love, Springvale Dash, Dyna Forte

Semi Final 3

This is one tough mofo of a race. The only genuine early speed in the race seems to come from Mr Metz, but he is meeting one hot heat and if he does not lead, he will not run a place, so thats a gamble there. Prankster and Lady Gaga are both unreliable at box rise, as is Dentax Bale, but he is definetly a case for the fence. In a race, where I could go 10 different ways and still miss it by a long shot, lets take Lady Gaga and hope that Jason Thompson has this dog firing tonight. For second I will take Prankster to carve across with Dentax Bale rattling home. Look also for Grand Siyan who will stay outwide and avoid all trouble. Mr Metz to find trouble early and run near last.

Lady Gaga, Prankster, Dentax Bale, Grand Siyan

Semi Final 4

Turanza Bale has been one of the most unluckiest chasers in recent times but definetly one of the most talented. He is a case for the fence as he jsut crashes left and rails hard. He showcased this in The Shootout when he refused to go around Velocette and was nailed to the rail. Fedex and Sheoak Ian will come out running and could cause each other trouble and Turanza Bale may end up closer than normal. Strictly Mambo to be charging late.

Turanza Bale, Fedex, Strictly Mambo, Sheoak Ian

Albion Park

Lay - Bellbird Park (Race 2, No.1) - This was my lay last week when it ran 5th as second favourite. Tonight it meets a similiar assignment if not harder. Speed in 2,3,5 will ensure if it leads it will have to work extremely hard for it and will be found wanting at the end. If it does not lead it cant run a place. Treat with caution.

Best - 2 Best bets on the card.

Robo Raptor (Race 6, No.3) - Highly talented youngster who is as tough as they come. Will prove far too superior and is a must for quaddie anchors. Follow this dog in some feature events in future.

Visualisation (Race 10, No.1) - Was goin to make this the special last week but thought it would be way too short from box 5, but sent it around nearly $4!!!. From box 1, it looks a treat to hold the lead into the first turn and if it does, that will be the end of it.

Value - Mystic Rumble (Race 5, No.6) - Not suited to a tight track like Lismore, this greyhound should get a little more room to move. It's run behind Black Attack when it went done a nose (0.03L), was an awesome effort and even though it has only won 1 of 16 here, it has been placed in another 7 and he should be figuring in the finish somewhere.

Dapto

Lay - Snowsill (Race 7, No.8) - 3 starts, 3 wins. On paper looks good and against this line up, it looks very good. However, based on times, a 22.99 Bulli win, 30.54 and 30.33 at Dapto, is good without being anywhere near spectacular. This will surely get sent around odds on, and with dogs like Deaksey, Seriously, Cool Lion Heart and Autowave who might get a clear crack tonight, can run very similiar time so I would definetly be wary on this and it will not be an anchor for me tonight.

Best - Excel Like Speed (Race 5, No.8) - If you want an anchor in the quaddie this is it. Class act who meets extremely moderate opposition. Will get a clear run from the pink and should land on the speed and career off the back straight and win easily.

Value - He's Hotz Stuff (Race 9, No.2) - Recorded his PB off this draw and drops a little in class. Has recorded 3 wins from 7 starts at this track but his numeric form of 55485 is enough to sway punters away and send this dog out at way over the odds. Has not raced for 3 weeks, so will be fresh for this event. Ticket each-way.

Hobart

Lay - Hudson (Race 5, No.8) - Has not missed a place from his last 5 starts but all have been from inside boxes. He draws off the track and thats definetly the wrong spot for this greyhound. This will get sent around favourite, and do not be at all surprised if it misses a place.

Best - Lettuce Leaf Lad (Race 7, No.1) - Seriously, this dog has had worst luck than you will see of late. Draws inside and the check is a slow wide runner. Surely it bounces back tonight. Has a sizzling PB to his name and should get room to move early. Wins.

Value - Swami (Race 10, No.8) - In what seems a fairly evenly matched race on paper, Swami is a talented ex-Victorian dog who has been racing against the likes of Pure Thirst and Pneumonia Alley. He likes to track wide in races, so he wont miss a place from this box.

Sandown Park

Race 1

Early pace from Black Sakura and Sassi Jay will be challenging for the early lead. Greysynd Thunder boxed well out wide and has not missed a top 2 finish in its last two starts and Upsy Daisy will be charging along the fence late.

Black Sakura, Greysynd Thunder, Upsy Daisy, Sassi Jay

Race 2

Hooded Keats should be able to lead this field comfortably with Banger Harvey sitting right on its back. These 2 should get space to race early and clear out with a big enough lead to battle out the finish. The two strongest dogs in the race are Shakey Bake and Allen Ulrick. If there is any trouble up front watch for these swoopers.

Hooded Keats, Banger Harvey, Shakey Bake, Allen Ulrick

Race 3

Smoken Ichiban looks like he will get every chance to lead all the way, Guacamole will just stay outwide and grind away all the day. Tethrahedron, Acquired Taste, Kurnai King and Join the Queue will be the swoopers from the back.

Smoken Ichiban, Guacamole, Join the Queue, Tethrahedron

Race 4

Ashby Rose bounced back to form with a super 25.30 win at Warnambool and if she repeats that, she will win here. Cruiser Joy is a talented bitch who has had no luck of late. Same can be said about the McDonald trained Rose Chalice. These 2 are both open for improvment. Teaman Titch and Questa Bale will be giving the leaders a start but they are the swoopers.

Ashby Rose, Cruiser Joy, Rose Chalice, Questa Bale

Race 5

Last week, I layed Gypsy Flame as the favourite and it ran 5th. Tonight, it is boxed and positioned well in this race. There is no direct speed near it, and it should be able to find the lead at the first turn. Based on its recent 29.85, if this happens it should lead all the way. Merrily Mack is boxed well and is a smart thinking greyhound who will utilise this box well. Cooper Bale and Blitzem Bale will be flying late.

Gypsy Flame, Merrily Mack, Cooper Bale, Blitzem Bale

Race 6

Mystical Soul is boxed to win and only breaking down will stop it from winning. The inside 3 boxes should fill the minor placings here with all their early dash. Standout special for quaddie.

Mystical Soul, Book Of Music, Arvo's Breeze, Fire Miss

Race 7

Zenith meets a group that would be battling to stay within 3 lengths of it to the first marker. Tonight it should run them ragged with a sizzling first split. Nelly Bale and Violet Crumble are both showing good form and from the inside 2 boxes they should be running right behing the tearaway leader. Arvo's Florence can be hit n miss but watch it mid-race start to warm up.

Zenith, Violet Crumble, Nelly Bale, Arvo's Florence

Race 8

The key to the race comes from the inside boxes. Gabla Jack has great toe and Crossfarnogue ran a sizzling 5.13 to the first marker when it took a star like Birthday Boy to run it down. Put it on top over Galba Jack. Miss Mega Pins should get a gun run behind the leader and watch for Viva Vegas and Ultra Rumble flashing late.

Crossfarnogue, Galba Jack, Miss Mega Pins, Ultra Rumble

Race 9

Who Told Helen is dropping in class and could find the early lead and take the cash at her 82nd start. Viva Las Vegas is not drawn on the right side of the track but does have a slashing 25.30 win at Ballarat from an inside draw and should get all the favours behind the leader. Stagger Inn, Kandy Bale and Lots of Moolah best of the race for multiples.

Who Told Helen, Viva Las Vegas, Kandy Bale, Lots of Moolah

Race 10

Another Innings had not an ounce of luck last week and depsite its awkward draw, gets its chance to improve on its debut with the big boys. Selynya Magic was my value tip last Thursday night and went down half a length at $22. It will be suited by a wide draw and should be figuring somewhere in the finish. Best of the rest, are the four inside boxes who all show speed and would not surprise.

Another Innings, Selynya Magic, Brazen Buey, Bomber Fury

Race 11

Last Stress has been racing against the best of the best lately and it drops back in class tonight and should get a clear run from the pink. Catch up Sunday and Intoxicate are both young dogs showing loads of talent and with luck they should feature prominently. Lucent has talent.

Last Stress, Catch Up Sunday, Intoxicante, Lucent
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  #14 (permalink)  
Old 01-15-2010, 08:37 AM
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Originally Posted by Oaksnaf
4/7 Bets bets won. Well done on the Strike Rate. But hard to make money at those odds day in day out.

Have you kept a track of your average odds and which odd ranges are more profitable?


Very true. To be honest, I do not personally bet on my "best" bets all the time, because even if they are the best of the card, if they are too short IMO, I will leave them alone. This thread I guess is more being used as a guide for anyone possibly wanting to bet at a certain meeting and hopefully steer a winner or value there way. As a rule, I prefer to back the value runners obvioulsy, but I may not actually nominate the good one on my pre-race form, as sometimes the markets can throw you some doozies you do not expect.

Example - My Amigo at Albion Park I thought would be close to even money mark and was the clear class factor in the Young Guns Final..He blew out to $2.90/$1.70 and if you could get fixed odds that, you would load up for certain each-way. But I could not predict it starting even close to that price.


Also, the lays help me earn money too in regards to going wide in exotic betting which I am currently working on. For instance, yesterday my lays were:

Pure Tonic - Sent out $1.80 favourite beaten - Unplaced
New Divide - Sent out $2.30 favourite beaten - Third but no Third Dividend
Springvale Dash - Sent out $15 beaten (all money for high earner), TBH at $15 it was actually value lol - 2nd
Bellbird Park - Sent out $6 third favourite - Unplaced
Snowsill - Sent out $2.10 favourite beaten - 2nd
Hudson - Sent out $3.10 favourite beaten - Unplaced.

Now it does not always work that well, but if you look at the races were all those favourites got rolled, the exotics paid nicely. Obviously, you had to get the rest, but yeah.

I will be scrapping recording the best bet tally's as in thinking about it a little closer, I dont think a 50/100 will work with best bets, where as with value runners (which currently is 75% of my betting) does prove to work with me. I would advise people to follow the value runners anyway, as you have to outlay too much to win a similiar amount backing the shorties.

On paper it was an okish night. At Sandown Race 2, I stood out the winner and with my other 3 selections found the first four which paid $493. And later on I boxed the first four which paid $300. In that race, I was a lip from standing out the winner too, just getting nailed on the line which I saw happening as soon Arvo's Florence bounced into 2nd at first turn.

By the way, if I ever tip Lettuce Leaf Lad again, shoot me. That dog can find more trouble than a chubby kid in a cake shop..Unreal how much trouble this dog finds.

Hope you all did well last night!!
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  #15 (permalink)  
Old 01-15-2010, 08:49 AM
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Nice summary mate. Hope you come good next time. I only bet your valued picks coz if only one come in I do ok.

coops
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  #16 (permalink)  
Old 01-15-2010, 08:56 AM
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Cheers!!

Swami was the last race of the night and got up for me at $4.40/$1.90.. Nothing super flash, but still a decent price.


Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 14th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $3300
Return - $3380

Profit - $80 (+2.4%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.



Shepparton



Lay - Supreme Level (Race.6 No.8) - This is the beauty of dog racing. Last week I labelled this my best bet and it got the bikkies. But I tell you now, it was not in the slight bit impressive. It fell in, over a very very ordinary field. It has never missed a place from the pink, but with dogs like Egyptian Boy and Pegasus directly inside of him, and also speedy begins in the inside traps, today's assignment is going to be much harder. Based on its last 3 runs on time form, and also watching the replay of last week's race, I am highly confident this well backed will get rolled. Sent around $1.90 red hot favourite and bombed the start and this was the end of that. Definetly not racing anywhere near his best. Treat warily in future.


Best - Bernie Beetroot (Race 4, No.4) - Horrible field. Young dog on the up and drops in class from mixed 4/5 into a 1-4 wins field. Super winner in 31.38 and 31.53. Only need to run similiar to blow field away. Jumped into second and railed hard to find the lead and was far too strong blowing them away mid-race to pay around $2.60/$1.40


Value - Jigsaw Lass (Race 9, No.6) - Racing without an ounce of luck lately. Can run some quick early sectionals and put it into the finish. Drawn well out wide and drops in class on his past 4 runs where she has met Nikita Beriman, Sangarakka, Unsmashable and Supreme Level. They are all stars of the provincial circuit. Big odds. No luck again early for this greyhound. Found the fence mid-race and was trying to make ground but was beaten along way into 4th, just being pipped for 3rd spot. Was sent out $23W/$4P


Nowra

Lay - No obvious lays on today's card.

Best - Bim Bam (Race 6, No.4) - In what looks to be between On Parole and Bim Bam, I really like this dog for its earlier toe than On Parole. No doubting Parole's class but it does everything wrong to get beat and at better odds, the run behind Tyson Magic was super last week, and before that clocked an impressive 30.25. That'll do me!!

Value - Hungry Bear (Race 5, No.8) - The kennelmate will more than likely start odds on in this final for the maidens, but this time Hungry Bear gets the good pink draw and should be able to avoid trouble out wide. Worked home behind the favourite well last start and keeps improving with everyone. Lots of speed in middle and rail boxes, ensures that the favourite won't have this on a platter.

Traralgon

Lay - Mel (Race 8, No.7) - Improving type who uncharactistically came off the pace to score her heat in a slick 29.93. Lots of trouble in the race she won, and she was a beneficiary of it. Field here is much much stronger and installed a 7/4 fav early is a bit rich for me. Look to others.

Best - Connor's Fury (Race 7, No.8) - No luck at last two when slow early and dogs smashing into him on the fence. Today draws outwide at a track he has won 2 from 2. Meets a decent, but not special group of dogs. Should blaze down the outside and clear them by the first turn.

Value - Phelan Ready (Race 5, No.1) - Always thereabouts. Can be erratic early but ran home well when placed at Cranbourne. Might get a decent run through if it stays nailed to the rail. The field is moderate and could surprise although I am sure the punters will send it around a $6 shot even tho it should be at 10s

The Gardens

Lay - Lucy Tanga (Race 8, No.1) - Impressive winner of last 2 in solid time and draws coveted red box. This will ensure it gets sent around favourite and there is alot of early dash in this race especially from Mud Blood who is a personal favourite. Again, this should be a $4.20 shot from the red and I doubt it will get out to that. More than likely $2.20 and thats unders.

Best - Valiant Journey (Race 2, No.8) - Class chaser who has been out of sorts lately. Did record a super Nowra sprint win a little back and was slightly dissappointing at Dapto when sent around short. Gets chance from his good draw to improve and should find this field more to its liking.

Value - Nat Cool (Race 7, No.8) - I really really like this dog tonight as a great chance. Will use box 8 to perfection. In an extremely open race you should get some juicy value for whoever you like, but his form from outside boxes is excellent of recent. Definete follower!!!!

Albion Park


Lay - Mythbuster (Race 7, No.1) - Slow beginner who likes to use a bit of the track. With that being said, box 1 definetly wont suit. Show no regard to its PB of 30.20 from the red on the track. Lots of speed in 2 and 3, and Lettuce Whistle has by far the best finishing burst in this field.

Best - Halie Rose Hi (Race 6, No.1) - Gives the impression the 520 will suit. Top form over the shorts with not much luck. Should be able to lead this group on its ear, and provided it can even find the line moderately. Should just win.

Value - Early Secret (Race 4, No.1) - Unplaced in last 5 runs, but has been racing in 10x harder company than it meets here. Gets a box to improve, and this lot is very veryyyyyyyy ordinary. Numeric form might spice up his price, but he should definetly improve tonight.

Last edited by Poizun; 01-15-2010 at 04:16 PM.
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Old 01-15-2010, 04:17 PM
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Scarlett Girl - (Race 1, No.5) - No luck in any of its first 4 starts. Showing huge promise. Meets another ordinary bunch again and look for it to blow this field away. Only query is first starters .

Won @ $3ISH




Follow the comments, this dog absoultely teared apart the maiden final field and recorded an unbelievable 29.65.
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Old 01-19-2010, 01:21 PM
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Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 18th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $4050
Return - $3880

Profit - $-170 (-4%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.


Angle Park

Lay - Diana Bale (Race 8, No.1) - Has speed to burn early which will be why this should be sent out right in the market. Very weak at the end of its racing and lead all the way recently in a far below par run of 30.86. This field is much stronger and with a quicker beginner on its outside in Nirimba Dancer will sure be tussling in the early stages and this dog does doesnt like that. ClasS from all the boes 5-8 should tell.

Best - Border Patrol (Race 7, No.2) - Has not done much wrong since coming to SA. Only failure was at Angle Park when he founds bucketloads of trouble and even then he clocked a respectable 30.59. Other wins have been impressive on the bunny and should have the pace to be prominent at the first turn and lead all the way.

Value - Brer Fox (Race 3, No.8) Racing without much luck of late. Tends to find trouble in its racing which doesn't help its cause. Concern is in over 100 starts it has not won from Box 8, but does have 4 wins from the 7. Drops slightly in class today, and with Rowland Bale who is generally a slow beginner, it could position up much closer and is a strong dog at the end of its races. Each-way ticket.


Devonport

Lay - Topline Doovee (Race 6, No.1) - Great tassie chaser who has the amazing stats of 9 starts for 7 wins and 2 placings at TRK/DIST. Won last 3 on end in brilliant fashion and even though Gardam Prince will probably start favourite, this dog will definetly be the close 2nd fav. Would not be surprised to see Gardam to start $2.20 with Topline around $2.70. I highly doubt it can hold out Gardam Prince at the first turn and with swooping runs from the middle of the track from Accounts, Cradoc Park, Shunted it is going to make the job ultra hard for him to take the cup down and at the price, I would definetly love to be a bookie!. Gardam Prince though with too much toe early to lead all the way for me.

Best - Perfect Socks (Race 10, No.7) - Looks perfectly placed in this GR5 after scoring an ultra impressive win from a similiar box in 30.02 at Launceston. Minor query is yet to win at track in 3 starts(2 minors), but over this distance it should ping, cross the field, and if it does, get in the queue.

Value - One Wheel (Race 7, No.1) - OoOoOo - This is the one I tipped to run second in the heats at monstrous odds when the lure broke down. It was vying for the lead, and had held out Akka Boy for the moment. It's numeric form is horrible. Early markets have it at 7/1. No one has it tipped it anywhere. I feel very confident of a big run. This dog has bundles of ability and when it put its all together its one slick dog. Not the best beginner in Whispering Blaze on the outside of it, is going to make its job much easier. Follow hard!

Horsham


Lay - Supreme Level (Race 7, No.8) - Layed it last week when sent around odds-on and missed a place. Today, it won't get into odds on, but you can guarantee it will be right in the market. Its form has really tappered off of late. Today, it meets a field about 10x harder than it did last start. Based on what Ive seen lately, I doubt it will even run a place in this field.

Best - Remo Rubik (Race 8, No.8) - Wow, does this look like a good thing or what. Marrok Bale is a slow railer. Box 6 is empty. Our Toyman could not come out running if its life depended on it. It is going to have not a trouble in the world leading tonight. Drops ridicuosly in class and if you get anywhere CLOSE to the $2.10 in the watchdog form, get on and get on hard.

Value - Lankan Flash (Race 5, No.8) - Looks like will start double figures and has 3 good runs back from a short spell. Races consistently being placednearly 50% of all starts and altho I have recently learnt of the bad position of box 8 at Horsham over the decent, I do believe with alot of speed drawn in the inside 4 boxes there could be some carnage and this dog can begin good.

Ipswich

Lay - Sheeza Picture (Race 8, No.7) - Quickest heat winner but from an inside draw. Not suited at all to the 7 and yet to win from Box 6 or out. Meets a field full of talent that can run similiar time and many of the dogs are drawn better. Labelled prepost favourite, I wouldnt be jumping in too hard....

Best - Crystalizaion (Race 9, No.2) - Found its distance as a stayer. Took a while to learn about racing but is now putting its best paw forward. Drawn close to the rail for once (15 starts for only 3 starts in boxes 1-4, the other 12 starts boxes 5-8), is an upcoming who meets a field where it shouldnt miss a place if it gets rolled.

Value - Royal Samba (Race 5, No.3) - Been racing with no luck at all of late. Is normally a front running greyhound who finds it tough to finish races off, but has definetly been getting stronger and stronger in racing. Found lots of trouble last week and did not get beat a long way in a slick time. Look for it to bounce back and lead tonight and run em a merry dance.

Last edited by Poizun; 01-19-2010 at 02:11 PM.
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Old 01-19-2010, 04:41 PM
Dog cash
 
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Hey poizun, your updates of monies won betting 50/100 has got me curious with my own top picks to see how I would go in those terms, I have a few months of results so I'll check it out and let everyone know. Do you bet in the exotic pools?
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Old 01-19-2010, 07:34 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dogcash View Post
Hey poizun, your updates of monies won betting 50/100 has got me curious with my own top picks to see how I would go in those terms, I have a few months of results so I'll check it out and let everyone know. Do you bet in the exotic pools?
Yes. I am still trying to work out what is most profitable. Doing value runners at 20W/40P...50W/100P..like that seems to work very well because im not backing favourite, but more dogs which are going to place alot and pay anywhere from 2-6 dollars a place but when they do get up. they pay well!!

I tried this with best bets for a while, and it did not work too well as alot of them were too short.
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