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Tips Jan 5th (Greyhounds)
Horsham
Lay - Jamison Bale (Race 10, No.3) - Has talent, but has no clue about racing. He is as green as he was from Day 1. Box draw has not helped him and with explosive speed outside him, he will get too far back. Watch him rattling at the end into 3rd spot. Best - Mrs Hyde (Race 5, No.3) - Not only do I think this is the best bet on the card, it looks like huge value in what the market describes as an open race. The clear favourite will be Condor Bale from the rails but his box manners leave something to be desired and this ultra strong runner should love the big long straight and prove far too strong. Value - My Little Joyce (Race 8, No.8) - This will likely be huge odds ($20+). Improved dramatically last week when in a smaller field and battled well behind a smart one. Drawn a very good box and with loads of speed in the inside, I can see some carnage and this could possibly skip around em and run a massive run at odds. Ipswich Lay - Yorklea Sunset (Race 8, No.7) - Will most likely be sent around a $2.30 commodity, but lacks the finish to hold out this field. Showed dazzling turn of foot early last week to swoop out of the first turn from box 8 and clear out but even a 5 length lead down the back didnt stop it capitulating up the straight. Drawn box 7, so similiar conditions in the heat, however with loads of early speed in this race and the fact this dog cant come off the pace to win, I just cant see him taking out the final. I wouldnt be taking anything less than $6-7 if I were to back this dog. Good luck getting those sort of odds. Best - Ima Design (Race 7, No.1) - Dog has sickeningly good stats at Ipswich. Tries hard every single race it goes around. Drawn box 1. Beat Sunlander last start. With that being said, I must say I was ultra impressed by Sunlander's efforts OFF the pace last week to rail ridiculously well after bombing the start but running out of puff up the home straight. With that being said, Ima Design has drawn perfect, with a slow wide runner in box 2, the cherry will be an absoulte gift to it. Whatever it beats it, wins. Put it clearly on top for the card. Value - Sideways (Race 5, No.2) - I am not sure how the market will view this greyhound. He wont be short, I know that much though. With Rattle and Hum resuming from a spell from the red, and Carrick Flyer winning its past two starts impressively from the pink, it will have to be each way odds. Was not disgraced last start behind IMA DESIGN, slow beginners all around and drawn close to the rail. Stick with this as an excellent each way bet. Stay tuned for tonights tips. Tonights Tips!! Sale Lay - Granada (Race 10, No.8) - This makes me nervous labling this the lay and I must say I am not advising this with HUGE confidence. However, it is my opinion that this dog is a non-tryer. If he lands on the bunny, he can run time. If he gets hampered in running in any way what-so-ever, he throws the towel in. This is not a hard race to win, esp when you can break 25 secs, but the only other speed in the race comes from 6 and 7 and I dont think I would JUMP in at what will probably be $1.50. Id defintly be going wide in exotics and RD's and hoping the favourite does not come out running. Best - Ima Nuisance (Race 7, No.8) - This again is labelled with not 100% confidence. However, this dog is boxed to absolute perfection. Its form at the track is second to none in this field. The last 40 metres will be telling but I would be highly surprised if this misses a place from his draw and he is by far the best each way bet of the night (depending on tote lol) in what will guaranteed to be a hard night for punters. Value - Spin The Wheels (Race 10, No.7) - Well, this is going to by my bet of the night, in that I think it will start ridiculous odds due to Granada in the race and in a field which lacks real depth outside of that dog, represents huge value and as a punter, that is all you are after. Forget its recent form, has had no luck at all. Has a good PB, drawn the right side of the track and look to bob into the money. Sale, is without a doubt the hardest race meeting on the card and I struggled to even come up with the above. If you can find a way to make money there tonight, let me know haha Lismore Lay - Trey of Light (Race 2, No.6) - Declared a "certainty beaten" by the commentator last week. Well I dont know what he is smoking cuz it certainly was not that impressive. Did not have much luck, but did not create much either. Still a young dog and has a lot to learn. Pits up verse some more seasoned dogs again tonight, and his numeric form and constant backing will see him backed to near favourite again, but since I can pick out 6dogs that can roll him.....LAY! El Toreador (Race 10, No.2) - Now comes the acid test as they say. 3 wins from 4 starts all in fairly "smart" fashion. He now steps out verse some dogs that can run some time as well as begin well. Similiar scenario to above, there are just so many dogs can run time to beat him and early too. He went 30.31 at best basically solo trialling. I cant see him getting everything his own way tonight and that I believe will spell the end of him. Best - Spirited Girl (Race 5, No.4) - I was tempted to put MYSTIC RUMBLE as my best, but when for a bit more value in this selection. This dog has had next to no luck lately, and even tho its PB is not awe-spiring, I think this dog can find the top in this field and if it does, nothing will get past. Drops in class is also another massive plus for this dog as well as the fact it should be an each way price again!!! Value - She rose High (Race 9, No.1) - MY O MY, did this stand out to me. No luck its last 2 starts and prior to that finished 2nd behind a very smart type in scintilatting time at Casino. Its quoted at 10.00 in the hotdog form and if this dog starts anywhere near that I will be taking a huge slice of it. The query is one win from 20 at the track but does have 6 more minor placings. Propsective does not have sizzling early pace and this dog can show pace, so from Box 1, I just wanna load up on it at odds *fingers crossed* Gosford Lay - Elite Blue Size (Race 6, No.1) - I will probably get critized for this, but I personally think this dog has absouletly no chance in this line up. He is a front runner sprinter who won last week due to dogs jamming up behind him and still only had a length to spare. Yes he has drawn the box again, but tonight he has to hold out the likes of Super Laurie, Take the Kitty and Lochinvar Milano, not to mention Galba Jack is probably the quickest of the outisde division. The Reg Kay factor, 9 from 15 wins and box 1 will ensure he will start one of the favourites but I would stay away. Best - Forty Twenty - (Race 7, No.7) - Enough said. This wins with 3 legs in the air. Has lengths and lengths on this field. Can lead all the way or can come off the pace. Does not matter. This will just win. Anchor in everything. Possibly exotics punters do the chop chop with Laura's Legacy as she should be storming home into a place. Value - Low Self Esteem (Race 9, No.3) - Great dog. Top run last week when it oddly did not find itself in the lead. Of the inside 4 boxes it should easily be the quickest to the first turn. If it gets in front clearly to the first turn it should just win. Market has this race extremly open so expect some juicy each way odds the white. If you wanna bet on Townsville dogs, go buy a lottery ticket Happy Punting!! Last edited by Poizun; 01-05-2010 at 03:29 PM. |
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Quote:
I was the only person who declared Numero Uno Bale a certainty for defeat drawing inbetween 2 fast beginners and being a case job for the fence. Watch for him in future when he draws outwide and LAY LAY LAY |
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I must say I was surprised and impressed by Yorklea Sunsets win in the final at Ipswich, granted box 4 took a step right and destroyed the 3 other fancies in box 1,2,3 but thats racing and it ran some slick time too (30.80).. I like it when dogs prove me wrong And ditto for Elite Blue Size..
ANYONE WATCH THE WOY WOY FINAL? i missed it but just saw results.... regardless, kudos to it for winning becuz that was def its hardest test to date and it came through well.. I am assuming it lead all the way untouched? If it didnt, ill be even more surprised Granada vs Spin the wheels was draining..so close yet so far...Spirited Girl was a top win. What I suggest from punters who may look at my tips each day, is to back all the best bets each way but double the place. i.e. 5 the win 10 the place..etc . I will be keeping a running total based on a 50/100 unit investment on each race to keep track. From VALUE runners, do what you like with them, each-way, throw them in multis. whatever you like but they usually run a honest race at odds as shown last night. My little Joyce was huge odds and if it wasnt for Nelly Bale might of prevailed with the battle that was up front. Lays was ugly last night but a few smart dogs showed me up but we will see how we go over the next few weeks. These arent necessarily dogs I would leave out of multiples but usually I wouldnt touch them to win if your a "on-a-nose" punter unless i was getting ridiculous overs. Time to see todays racing Already glanced at Meadows and looks a tuff program |
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