Australian Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum

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super_sunline_79 03-27-2009 06:09 PM

Horse systems
 
Howdy Peoples,

this i my first post into this interesting entertaining forum.

Just curious as to what systems people use to make selections in any code but more specifically Horse Racing.

I made up a system picking out rules from various other systems that were published in PPM and made up some of my own.

the following is the basic rules i have for my system

1 - 75% place strike rate
2 - 15% win strike rate
3 - DAYS LAST START
*14 days for races beyond 1600m
*21 days for races upto 1600m
4 - DISTANCE
200m either side for races upto 1600m
400m either side for races beyond 1600m
5 - Horse must race 'HANDY' settle no worse then 5th-8th and be in the first 4 at the turn.
6 - TRACK CONDITIONS - horse must have shown an ability to handle the current track conditions. If the Track conditions change dramatically then no bet - eg from good/dead to slow/heavy or vice versa
7 HORSE must have placed last start
or
beaten within 3 lengths of winner

super_sunline_79 03-27-2009 06:14 PM

now I'm thinking do I have a minimum number of race starts for a horse to be a selection - say 10.

do I bring in average prizemoney??

im looking at weather I should use a points system for the last rule in the Horse must be placed last start.
4 points for a win
3 for second
2 for third
1 for unplaced within 3 lengths

then thinking of bringing in barriers

barrier 1-7 3 points
8-15 2 points
16+ 1 point


Horse must have won at TRACK/DISTANCE?????

Bonus for a horse thats trained on the track - home ground advantage????

pre-post betting - eliminate any selection over $15???

neverpromise 03-29-2009 11:50 AM

Don't punt much on the horses, bet more on greyhounds or sports betting.
There's two old blokes at the tab. One does his shopping never looks at a formguide, then walks into the tab after his finished his shopping, places $100 on the next race favourite. Walks to the bar, has a pot watches the race then walks out. Doesn't return or have a bet until the next Saturday. Bloke number two his system is back a last start winner stepping up in distance. But odds must be over $3.50

super_sunline_79 03-30-2009 04:14 PM

i punt more on the dogs, i find it easier to win at but dont use a system at the dogs.


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