Official Greyhound Tips (Updated Daily)
 

Running total on Best Bets as of Jan 6th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.

Outlay - $750
Return - $769

Profit - $19 (+2.5%)

When worrying about profit, the most important element is the %.

Mrs Hyde killed me by running 4th. Also didnt see the run, will review on grv later...


Jan 6th Tips

Angle Park

Lay - Can't find any shorter priced dogs that I think will get rolled in this small meeting, so I have included 2 very very good "value runners"

Best - Nerini Bale (Race 2, No.2) - Purely for lack of any form of dog in the race, and its first up from Victoria. This will probably be short, but this will get the money barring falling over. If you can pick something outside this dog to win and it gets up, you are good!

Value - Brazilian (Race 6, No.2) - According to the watchdog form, this is the worst rated dog, and also the longest priced chance at $21. If you get double figures for this dog load up. 4 of its 7 wins have come from box 2, it is dropping severly in class, has a billygoat beginner in box 1, and I cannot wait to see what price it starts. Fantastic each-way prospect.

Digits - (Race 7, No.6) - Be careful with this race. Pays 2 dividends only. Look this dog doesnt begin all that well but does have some sort of a motor. It has a vacant box next to it, has drawn wide (all 3 wins have come from box 8), has had no luck of late whatsoever and drops in class so an improved race at easily each-way odds would not surprise me.

The Meadows

Lay - Gwen Tennyson (Race 10, No.6) - Horrible form but is dropping ridiculously in class but still rate it no chance. Needs to find the lead early and even then is severly suspect with anything over 500m. Watchdog has it at $3.40 and there top pick. If anyone thinks this dog can run a place, I will gladly give you $2.50.

Best - Sparkling Molly (Race 3, No.2) - Has been screaming for this trip. Young dog which finishes extremely powerfully. Crawled all over their backs last start when should of run a place for sure. This field lacks any talent and whatever beats this dog, wins the race.

Value - Adalita (Race 10, No.2) - Dog has loads and loads of talent. Yet to showcase it consistently.Breath-taking 23.98 maiden win at Warragul which I was lucky to see live and has always been in the market in its starts. Form is tailing off a little bit but did record around 30.20 at the Meadows 3 starts ago and if it runs upto that, it wins. Can be tardy at boxrise and this is why it will start a backable price ($12 watchdog), if you can get 6 or 7 dollars that is great value.

Poizun mate. I'm going to Dapto dogs tomorrow night with a couple of my mates dogs.
Can you please give me a couple of tips for that meeting mate. I'll go with the $5 win and $10 place bet like you suggest.

Thanks mate.

coops

Best - Nerini Bale (Race 2, No.2) - Purely for lack of any form of dog in the race, and its first up from Victoria. This will probably be short, but this will get the money barring falling over. If you can pick something outside this dog to win and it gets up, you are good!

Was stuck with a client while this race was run.. I was utter shocked at 2.70 it paid for the win.... Was the worst field of the day and this dog had respectable victorian form!!! ah!!!

Sure.. Follow this thread and I will post some for you later.

Heading out for the night so cant give full tips for meetings but some dogs to follow tonight:



Ballarat Race 5, No.7 - Republican - Last start win at Cranbourne had to be seen to be believed. Extra distance will suit to perfection. Cant miss a drum.



Ballarat Race 11, No.7 - Emily Allen - Highly talented chaser who is mixing form at the moment. Should be juicy odds. Worth an investment.



Warnambool Race 8, No.7 - Wild Haley - Spectacular win last week after bombing the start and nearly breaking the near impossible 25sec barrier. My only query is how she will handle box 8. If you think she will, then anchor in everything cuz nothing will get within 6 lengths of her if she handles it.



Warnambool Race 12, No.3 - Penthouse - Good all up opportunity with Wild Haley as this will be short too but should just be winning. Nothing in the field can run 30.10 at the Meadows and he should be improving provided he handles first look at track.



Ipswich Race 6, No.8 - As you do - Super upcoming prospect. Tough win 2 starts back from a middle box. Draws its box in 8 and very hard to topple in what is an exceptional open race.



Ipswich Race 7, No.4 - Staminator - Will start big odds as its a bad box, slowish beginner but has a super motor and puts in everytime. If it can just find a position at the first time it will be near impossible to hold out.



Bulli Gold Cup Heat predictions



Heat 1 - In what is a super hard race, I put Hurricane Luke on top JUST over Hooky Booky and toss up for third between Magnifique (personal favourite) and Pulp who is a rising star.



Heat 2- I think from Box 8 Disintegrate is a special even though Little Sparkle can run time. So Disintegrate on top, from Little Sparkle with Ah Well to be rattling home at the end.



Heat 3 - What an interesting heat and I am going to have to lean towards the best box. The best 2 dogs in the race, Goodsey and Gripen Bale both know nothing about how to begin and its for this reason I am going to put the better box on top. Gripen Bale (biggest motor IMO going atm) from Goodsey(2nd biggest motor IMO lol), these 2 should gap the field with any clear running and for third I will look for a swooper like Drover from the coveted draw.



GOOD LUCK ALL!!

nice one at bulli m8

Running total on Best Bets from Jan 5th - Jan 7th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.

Outlay - $1050
Return - $1074

Profit - $24 (+2.2%)





Warnambool



Lay - Mepunga Harmony (Race 6. No.4) - Labelled a $3.20fav according to the watchdog, I dont think this represents anywhere near the price this dog should. Regardless of its consistency and obvious liking to the Warnambool, the amount of speed inside from Lebron and Classic Diva, combined with Hollic Lodge and Selsi Flyer spearing accross, I cannot see this dog getting a clear run and this is the only way it wins.. Dont be taking anything less than $7.50.



Best - Lynlea Zac (Race 4, No.1) - To me, this look the most obvious best bet on the card. In a field which lacks any real talent, this dog has matched it with Mick The Mozz, Coulta Sky and Sydney Allen in its most recents efforts, recording a win and 2nd from those encounters. Drawn the red, it should just lead and win. Anchor it in.



Value - Mepunga Mac (Race 7, No.6) - This is a sketchy tip, but i know one thing about this dog. Look for it to be scorching home. Going through the form on this race, there does not look to be a "Tearaway" leader and this works in huge favour for this greyhound. Combine the fact he has a vacant box on his outside, and he has only missed a place once in 5 starts at track/dst, this looks to be the value runner in the card.


Maitland


Lay - Lights and Music (Race 3, No.4) - Won it's last 4..but in Dubbo...Boxes 3,5,6,7 have reasonable form in much harder company and this box does not do it favours. Drawn a little closer to the rails in its win and I believe with all the wins in a row the black sheep punters will follow the pattern and you wont get anything reasonable. Lay this dog to win.


Best - Eastley Drive (Race 9, No.3) - I originally made Late Night Out my best bet on the card, but talked myself into making this one it. Its form around The Gardens and Gosford is extremely good and the way the box draw has come out it has suited it with all the speed out wide and no speed inside should give this greyhound a clear go. The obvious danger will be Afroman, but I think at odds this is a certain each way bet, and its clearly my best of the night.


Value - Bee Tee Mac (Race 6, No.4) - Highly talented chaser who is dropping in class, finds its pet distance. Loves Maitland and he will be storming home at the end and I cant see this dog missing a drum either.


Sandown Park


Lay - Gypsy Flame (Race 6, No.4) - Impressive of the check last week, but this race is a harder commodity and has drawn much more awkward in the blue. The fact Shunted who is also a most reliable beginner is going to make its job even more hard, and this dog must lead to win. It cant come off the pace. Too tough tonight even with the watchdog putting it on top.


Best - Mystical Soul (Race 4, No.8) - Sizzling winner in a non-penalty few weeks ago, but refused to rail up last week when drawn the red. Even up the home straight was off the track. Today it draws it box, meets moderate company. Expect it to be short, but expect it to win. Anchor it all.


Value - Seleyna Magic (Race 11, No.3) - Looks for big odds for this greyhound. Labelled a $10 chance and not tipped in any selection, this dog has oodles of ability. Has been mixing form lately, but with Merrily Mack on its inside and Bomber Fury on its outer, tonight might be the night it can position well on the first turn and based on its super 27.40ish win at Horsham 4 starts back coming off the pace, this could be a suitable assignment.


Adelaide Cup Heat Predictions

Heat 1 - The key here is the check. The form around Mudeye looks amazing, but its time really arent spectacular. They are solid, without being anything special. Beating Caplay, Singing Bee and Lovely Surprise is not Adelaide Cup form. Put Springvale Dash on top. Brilliant record, brilliant PB, drawn to trail early leader and run all over it on the back straight. Rhoda Reason has loads of talent too. Watch for her flashing at the end. Mudeye guy tires into third.

Springvale Dash, Rhoda Reason, Mudeye Guy

Heat 2 - Match race between inside two boxes. Boozeroo can be dicey at box rise so I will follow the red to hold off the late charging Boozeroo late. Financial crisis has had no luck in its recent runs and put him best of the rest if you are trying some Tri's and F4s

Long Gully Jacob, Boozeroo, Financial Crisis

Heat 3 - Ridiculously hard heat to work out the form on. In what is flipping a coin virtually, Ive landed with Fevolution on top. Recent 30.01 winner by 10l from squeeze box. Second pick was a toss up between the out-of-form Tomic, Rawson Reason and Elusive Tiger. I am going to go with Rawson Reason just for the box, with Elusive Tiger late and Tomic in 4th. Taking a gamble leaving fav out of the top 3 but eh, life goes on

Fevolution, Rawson Reason, Elusive Tiger, Tomic

Interstate Challenge - What a race. Just oodles of talent. My favourite dog in racing is Turanza Bale, so I am going to stick with him. High Earner should be able to carve across to lead. Strictly Mambo flying at the end.

Turanza Bale, High Earner, Strictly Mambo

Heat 4 - Dentax Bale loves the red box and he is a clear top pick. I think Sydney Allen can lead him, but he will only be warming up off the back straight and rail right inside on the home turn drawing away to win easily. Jimmy Bothing has loads of talent.

Dentax Bale, Sydney Allen, Jimmy Bothing

Heat 5 - In what the early market's have Lady Gaga are clearcut odd-on favourite, I cant fully agree. I feel Manuel Bale will lead clearly and Id prefer to be on home. No doubting Gaga's talent, but its beginnings keep costing punters. Grand Rule to be charging late.

Manuel Bale, Lady Gaga, Grand Rule.


Dapto



Lay - Lizzie Taylor (Race 8, Box 7) - Pains me to put this as the lay but the hotdog form has her at 2.75 and thats just silly. She has a sizzling PB on the track but thats when she lead all the way from Box 1 and she is a young dog which has a habit of finding bucket loads of trouble in its runs. With Tuaki who is a proven performer from the red who really should be odds on, be wary.



Best - Destiny's Imp (Race 4, No.3) - In what should be an openish betting market, on exposed form I thought this dog was a clear cut top rater. Rattled home behind tearaway leader last start. Extremely moderate field. Should win.



Value - Spring Spartan (Race 5, No.6) - Another personal favourite of mine. Blew the start last week and found more trouble than a fat kid in a bakery. Forgive its run. Never missed a place from 3 starts at the track, honest chaser who always puts in. Awkward box but super value. Worth an each-way ticket.





Albion Park



Lay - Bellbird Park (Race 6, No.5) - Won it's last 4 in a row but today is the acid test. Meets 5x harder company and combine that with a horrid box draw and has no official form at the track, this is a hugeeee lay for me. Would not touch this dog with a 10 foot stick. Fluke win last start.



Best - Veroficious (Race 7, No.6) - Huge drop in class for this super chaser. Won a heat of the Brisbane Cup but is def better drawn close to the fence. Severe drop in class should prevail and he should def be in the winners list tonight.



Value - Count The Dough (Race 2, No.1) - I think this is a monty to lead and this chaser is an extremely underrated one. In a race with only 3 possible hopes (1,2,8), the draw is the key and I think this will lead from box to post.





Hobart



TBH, could not be bothered doing form for Hobart. Too hard!! lol.. But throw a ticket on a dog in Race 6, No.2 in Bronze Warrior. Bad numeric form but is usually a fairly reliable beginner and from the good draw could run a cheeky race at nice odds.



Happy punting!!

Sandown Park

Lay - Gypsy Flame (Race 6, No.4) - Impressive of the check last week, but this race is a harder commodity and has drawn much more awkward in the blue. The fact Shunted who is also a most reliable beginner is going to make its job even more hard, and this dog must lead to win. It cant come off the pace. Too tough tonight even with the watchdog putting it on top.
Shunted holds it out, and that was it for the 2.70 fav.

Best - Mystical Soul (Race 4, No.8) - Sizzling winner in a non-penalty few weeks ago, but refused to rail up last week when drawn the red. Even up the home straight was off the track. Today it draws it box, meets moderate company. Expect it to be sure, but expect it to win. Anchor it all.
Short but was never ever going to lose. Def would want to be on this then Zenith at the odds.

Value - Seleyna Magic (Race 11, No.3) - Looks for big odds for this greyhound. Labelled a $10 chance and not tipped in any selection, this dog has oodles of ability. Has been mixing form lately, but with Merrily Mack on its inside and Bomber Fury on its outer, tonight might be the night it can position well on the first turn and based on its super 27.40ish win at Horsham 4 starts back coming off the pace, this could be a suitable assignment.
Bombed the start and worked hard to get within 3 lengths off Merrily Mack leaving the back straight. Closed to within a length but peaked on its run. Was sent around between $14-$22 on diff totes. Payed $4.80ST the place, $5.20NSW and added all the spice to exotics

Running total on Best Bets from Jan 5th - Jan 8th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.

Outlay - $1800
Return - $1942

Profit - $142 (+7.4%)


Shepparton

Lay - Quick Connect (Race 10, No.1) - Young dog who has had only a handfew of starts. Did win from this draw in a solid 25.69 but there are 3-4 other dogs who can run similiar time. Watchdog has him installed as $2.20 fav and I am pretty sure the punters will follow this dog, but this dog's other 2 runs were nothing flash and I just feel that the right price is around $4.70-$5 and you wont get close to this, so gamble and take this dog on and go wide in multiples.

Best - Supreme Level (Race 6, No.8) - Did not want to label this the special but for pure lack of anything else on the card standing out I have. Look, its clearly the best dog the race. It is boxed to perfection. I think its down a little bit on form, but expect it to bounce back verse an extremely moderate FFA field. Will be short, but expect it to win.

Value - Jigsaw Lass (Race 6, No.4) - In the same race as my best which I dont like either :O, but this dog has had absolutely no luck lately. And I mean not an ounce. It can show electric speed in the opening 75-100m which set up its early wins in its career. However, it has been solely raced at Bendigo nearly which had caused it to race in FFA class from start 5 or 6? The dog just was not ready. Still upcoming, will be monstrous odds, and I think is worth a solid place ticket.


Nowra

Lay - Rapid Unit (Race 5, No.4) - 2 wins and 2 seconds from its last 4 starts and only sub 30sec winner at this track will ensure this greyhound starts right in the market, if not favourite. The talent in this field is extremely deep and is 5x harder than this greyhound has experienced of late. Needs room to move early and this box will not do it any favours and I would be going very wide in exotic and multi-bets because I cant see this greyhound getting anywhere near them.

Best - Three for Ten (Race 6, Box.8) - One of the most reliable beginners you will see, and box 8 is utter perfection for this greyhound. Trained by one of the best, he meets a very very moderate Summer Cup Heat field and he should be far too superior for this bunch.

Value - Diamond Mollie - (Race 10, No.5) - Will not find a better beginner at Nowra in the 365m then this dog. She will be 2 in front within around 25m. The problem is 200m is about her capacity. She will be out in front and hope for carnage behind so she can hold on at good each way odds.

Albion Park

Lay - Sunlander (Race 8, No.3) - Risky move, but monitoring this dog at Ipswich lately, it has not been "pinging" but mustering after the first 30-40m. Today, it meets fast beginners in 1,2 and 4 and the Albion Park 395m is suicide if you dwell even a slight bit. I think this will be close to even money and I would be taking this for anything less than $3.

Best - Quinella $50 (Race 10, No. 1+5) - Couldnt split these two dogs and they do look classes above the rest. Dont think the market will exactly reflect this but I am fairly confident of this one. Only dogs I can see troubling the pair is boxes 7 and 8, but even then their current form is no match for these 2.

Value - Setanta (Race 5, No.7) - Not sure how the market will view this dog, but it is dropping stupidly in class. Even though this is a 4/5, its a really lightly talented 4/5. This dog has mixed it with some very smart dogs and has a slashing PB on track of 35.25, will be giving them a start but will charge late. Should be each way odds.



Traralgon

Lay - Slade Chaser (Race 9, No.4) - Bad box. In good form but bucketloads of speed in this race. I can see carnage in the middle and this one will be short. Stay away. Simple.

Best - Quantam Gold (Race 10, No.7) - Early markets have him at a $3.00. Id be jumping on him at any price he starts at. Ultra classy type. Drawn out wide. Has no opposition to beat. It just wins.

Scarlett Girl - (Race 1, No.5) - No luck in any of its first 4 starts. Showing huge promise. Meets another ordinary bunch again and look for it to blow this field away. Only query is first starters .

Value - Shadowlands (Race 7, No.6) - Gets a long way back in its races but will be definetly suited by the 658m trip. Only pays 2 dividends so be wary if packing for the place. Def an inclusion for all multiples and will add spice.


The Gardens

Lay - Direct Jolie (Race 8, Box 8) - Highly overrated sprinter. Does its best racing at WPK. Markets have at 2/1 and I can only name one dog that cant win the race, so with that being said. Put this as the lay of the card clearly.

Best - Surfing Billy (Race 10, No.1) - Have to wait till the last to lock in the best on the card. Drops in class severly from racing against the likes of Woy woy fav, Lochinvar Marlow and Tax Rort. This should be an exceptionally easy assignment and has the best draw.

Value - Fuel Tank (Race 2, No.2) - I personally have a liking for this greyhound. Honest as a days old. Can be tardy at boxrise but with any luck, this is always in the finish. Great each-way bet.


Geelong

Lay - World Champ Bill (Race 11, Box.5) - Bad box over the sprint distance. Speed all around. Marked as early favourite. For a lightly talented G5, there is bucketloads of speed everywhere and from box 5 will have to be something special to get the cash.

Best - On Holidays (Race 9, Box.8) - Not only is this my best, it is gunna be HUGE odds. Box 8 specialist, sizzling 19.43PB at the track, good beginner in box 7 to help carve across. In a talented field, in which the betting public wont look at the pink, this has to be the best each-way bet of the day.

Value - Joseph Bale (Race 8, Box.3) - Strong chaser out of form, can bounce back in this field. Look for a bold showing.

No time for Richmond tonight guys. Good luck on the punt!!


P.S. Scarlett girl won at $3.20 and did everything wrong. Dog to follow.

Sorry guys... Please see updated tip results and tips for today... Stay tuned for daily updates here on in.

Running total on Best Bets from Jan 5th - Jan 12th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.

Outlay - $3800
Return - $3655

Profit - -$145 (+3.9%)

Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 12th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $1500
Return - $1665

Profit - $165 (+10%)

*Best Bets are dogs I view that should not miss a place and generally win. You will see small variance in profit but long term it should slowly rise and shouldnt lose money following these tips.

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Angle Park

Lay - Whatever Loz (Race 5, No.1) - Won 3 of 6, and despite drawing the red, meets probably its toughest field to date. Its wins have been in good time, but nothing spectacular. This dog reminds me similiar of Cool Fever yesterday who won its last 3, and lead up to the home str8 and fell in a hole to not even run a place. Based on times, this should happen again. Anticipating punters sending it out around a $3.00 shot, I wouldnt be taking anything less than $7-$8.

Best - Dragon State (Race 7, No.2) - Talented QLD sprinter having his first start in SA. Comes off racing against the likes of Fevolution and Veroficious and has been placed in 10 of 20 to date with 4 wins. Draws close to the rails, has been freshened up and is ready to win.

Value - Allen Rambla (Race 8, No.2) - Definite will be the value on the card. Ranked the 10/1 outsider by the hotdog form, this greyhound has numeric form of 885F8. Was showing enormous potentail in Victoria clocking a sizzling Geelong win in 25.6 as well as Shepp in 25.6 and Ballarat in 25.7. Has not found form or luck so far in Adelaide but today he can improve sharply against alot of greyhounds in similiar boats. Definite Each-Way ticket.

Sandown Park

Lay - Flying Pieces (Race 7, No.6) - Has strung three on end on the provincial tracks. Is a pure front running dog and this is its first test over the 515m, which based on its current racing, I personally do not think it will suit. Its other major problem is that it has brilliant beginners directly inside and outside of it. This will mean the odds of this dog leading clearly to the first turn are slim, and if it does not lead at the first turn, it will not even run a place.

Best - El Generale (Race 11, No.1) - Not necessarily the quickest dog in the race, however I think the way the boxes have panned out, everything tips into this dogs favour. Was a very solid winner at the Meadows in 30.36 on debut then followed up with a 2L defeat in 30.20.Mepunga Mac walks out of boxes and he is drawn in 2 and also Your Plumber in 3 doesnt show much early dash so this will give this greyhound loads of room early to move. Not only that there is bucket loads of speed in Boxes 5-8, so you can guarantee there will be some sort of carnage out wide.

Value - My Little Joyce (Race 10, No.2) - I labelled this a value runner last week when it ran third behind Nelly Bale and paid $3.70P and I think it is well positioned today to run a good race. Arvo's Falcon is the only real danger and the form outside of that is pretty slim. Only pays two dividends but look for another good run.

Albion Park

Lay - Back Page (Race 8, No.2) - Won past 3 at Rockhamption and Bunbury. Give no credit to dogs from this region. They will struggle in any Albion or Ipswich race. Lines up against a very classy field and probably wont even fill a drum.

Best - Sarah's Rival (Race 7, No.2) - I really think this dog is well placed in this event. Run home well in its last two after finding a little bit of bother. Is drawn to get a gun run behind early leader Mr Prizz and is proven at the 520m unlike alot of its rivals here.

Value - Chariot Hawk (Race 6, Box 8) - Death trap backing the pink over the 395m but this greyhound has been running some awesome races against some of QLD's best short course sprinters so from this wide draw he may take catching at each way odds.

The Gardens

Lay - Hot Size (Race 5, No.5) - Won 6 of 9 but most in moderate and will ensure it starts a blazing hot fav. Do not like it all from a squeeze box as its box skills leave a little to be desired. A few personal favourits in this race too, that I am leaning to and to be taken shorts for this dog, I would not be advising.

Best - Jaylo Magic (Race 9, Box.8) - Highly promising dog who has been slightly down on form of late. Today it draw's its box, meets extremely ordinary opposition and should atone and a good price.

Value - Holy Toly (Race 8, No.5) - No luck last two starts at all. Prior has been showing alot of promise as a youngster. Draws a rough box and good field which should enhance its price, but if it puts it all together. Watch out.

Ballarat

Lay - Nova Surf (Race 3, No.6) - Highly talented Sprinter who was sent out an extremely short elect in the Laurels final when beaten. Comes back into Darren's care when not firing on all cylinders back home in NSW. First up she draws a super talented field of short course specialists and draws a squeeze box. She will be sent around odds-on no doubt, and as Ambrosoli says, I would way prefer to be a bookie than a punter on this one.

Best - Sheylea (Race 10. No.8) - Racing in utter faultless form. Draws the best box it could want and even with Rellim Rosie in the race, Sheylea has all the times and wins on the board, there is no reason why it wont win again.

Value - Pot Thanks Cork (Race 4, No.2) - Finished 4L behind Flash of Light a few starts back which is good form for a race like this. Has not had much luck at box rise lately, and this dog can find the bunny and run.

Warnambool

Lay - Write To Mike (Race 9, No.7) - Greyhound who just gets luck to fall into its lap race after race. I really dont rank this sprinter that highly and it meets some smart types today with Will's Life more than likely cramp it up early and take it on in multiples tonight.

Best - Shiver Inside (Race 7. No.3) - Returned back to his brilliant best when recording a 25.4ish win last week. Drawn well close to the fence and his early dash should see him lead to the first marker and nothing will run him down if he records a similiar time.

Value - Pure City (Race 5, No.8) - No speed early but can definetly find the line over this range. Watch for him storming home at the end.

Bulli

Lay - Budapest (Race 5, Box.1) - This field is loaded with pace and it doesnt begin that well. Hotdogs have him tipped on top as a 5/2 favourite and I would clearly have Magnifique and Disintegrate in front of him, if not Gnarley boy too. Leave.

Best - Goodsey (Race 8, Box.7) - With Gripen Bale out, and drawing out side with all the speed inside, this looks like the race Goodsey can start making his mark as a topline sprinter. If thats comes out running or even positions up with the leaders by the home turn, watch explode up the straight and do not be surprised if breaks the magical 26 barrier.

Value - Janitor Bale (Race 7, Box.1) - Drops in class.Drawn to win. Simple

Bulli Cup Predications

Normally I do not like backing them odds on, but with ANY luck in running Goodsey has this lot covered. Hardest to beat outside of him is Disintegrate who should lead from the lovely box draw the reserve has picked up. Best of the rest is a toss up between Hurricane Luke (who i tipped on top at $5.40 in heats last week) and Little Sparkle.

Goodsey, Disintegrate, Hurricane Luke, Little Sparkle

Ipswich

Lay - Jimi Chew Shoes - Dog is similiar to Write to Mike. Alot of things have been going right for this dog of late. Guarantee it starts short and if this dog doesnt lead and come out running from the 7 it will get rolled at very skinny odds.

Best - Sunlander (Race 9, No.1) - Empty box in 2, small field. This will be as short as they come but its money for jam as they say. He has been racing in utter perfect form. Should break the magical 25 sec barrier too in this. Anchor galore.

Value - As you Do (Race 8, Box 8) - Handles the pink well, and has been racing super consistently. If there is any carnage at the first, this dog will zip around and nothing will run it down. Look for it to be in the firing line the whole way.

Tune in tomorrow as I do a Sandown special and full coverage of tomorrows meets.

Where ya been mate?

I'm going broke picking my own. Thank goodness your back.
I've had a shocker the last couple of days. Had 8 bets and no winners. Half of them placed but never placed them. Because I was stupid. I should be betting the way you told us to bet. I'll know next time.

coops

I had a shocker last night, until the TAB gave me XMAS early by offering Goodsey an amazing $3.20 FIXED!!!! happy days

Running total on Best Bets from Jan 5th - Jan 13th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.

Outlay - $4700
Return - $4135

Profit - $565 (-12%)

Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 13th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $2400
Return - $2580

Profit - $180 (+9.3%)

*Best Bets are dogs I view that should not miss a place and generally win. You will see small variance in profit but long term it should slowly rise and shouldnt lose money following these tips.

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Bendigo

Lay - Pure Tonic (Race 6, No.1) - In what has been labelled the watchdog's best bet, I have to disagree. What the form does not really show, is the abundance of speed capable to come from boxes 1-4. Corporal Bond (Box 2) gave us a glimpse last week of how he can begin when not quite holding out Just Eileen and Guitar Hero and Pure Peaches can come out running too.. Watch for Krebs to carve across from the pink. Whoever survives the early scrimmage will win, as their are no notorious swoopers in this race, but when they will more likely send this round an even money shot, Id prefer to put my cash somewhere else.

Best - Graceful Amy (Race 9, No.2) - Racing against the likes of Jarvis Bale, Guacamole and Tafari Bale. In a race lacking any early speed in the inside boxes, Graceful Amy should be able to find the early lead and if it does its strength over the longer trips will show and it will win.

Value - Krebs (Race 6. No.8) - In the same race as my lay, I think this greyhound will get a dream run out wide. Loves the track (17 starts for 2 wins and 8 minors), has a very nice PB of 24.29 and has been there abouts lately.

Maitland

Lay - New Divide (Race 9, No.3) - Young dog who recorded a very slick win at the Gardens at his second start. This will ensure he starts odds on and first look at Maitland from a squeeze box with direct speed on your inside will mean he won't have the race handed to him on a platter. There are 2 or 3 dogs who I am sure can match it with him.

Best - Little James (Race 4, No.1) - At his top this brilliant short course specialist would blow them away. There is only one query. He has had 4 months off the racing scene. However, he returns fresh, draws a fantastic box and if he has come to race, he will prove far far too superior.

Value - Hassell (Race 3, No.5) - Notorious slow beginner who gets warm in the middle of races and charges home late. Has been racing on the tight Wentworth Park circuit lately and has been running well. Will be suited by the big wide Maitland track and the extra distance suits. Mrs Trickett will start short, with Bread and Butter second pick, so definite value for this runner.

Angle Park

Lay - Springvale Dash (Race 6, No.6) - Struggled last start when never out of trouble. Also, spiting it because it cost me probably around $700 haha. Box 6 has done it no favours in a race where there is oodles and oodles of speed and if this dog cant get in front of High Earner, which it wont, it has no chance of running it down.

Best - High Earner (Race 6, No.4) - This looks a stand out for me. Awesome run last week when it did loads and loads of work behind Dyna Lachlan and still was only beat 2 lengths in a breathtaking BON of 29.50. This dog is absoultely faultless over the first 100m, and even with Manuel Bale and Sunny Boy Love inside of him, he should be able to work to the front by the first turn and that will be that. If you can get anything better than $3 on fixed betting, have a crack.

Value - Remo Rubik (Race 5,No.7) - In what is a super race, Remo has been boxed beautifully out wide in the fact that Drink Driver isnt the worlds best beginner and Rev Limiter will take one step left as soon as it leaves the boxes, so this will give Remo Rubik every possible chance going into the first turn. Dyna Lachlan will start favourite but will have to stave off all the speed that will come from Where's Diamond, Boozeroo and Fevolution. No trouble out wide, and an awesome 29.38 Sale winner after having to do work shows he can still run a strong 500 out. Currently the 10/1 outsider in hotdog and if you get that, giggle away.

Adelaide Cup Predictions

Semi Final 1

Great race, where I am going to put my best value bet of the day on top. See reasons above. I think Dyna Lachlan may find trouble early and be giving Remo Rubik too much of start. Boozeroo is a powerful bitch who has run some sizzling times in Adelaide so she will definetly be in the mix. Rev Limiter is dodgy at box rise and tends to cut left straight out of boxes, but will chase all day long.

Remo Rubik, Dyna Lachlan, Boozeroo, Rev Limiter

Semi Final 2

High Earner is one super talented pup with El Galo like box manners. This should put him in as a red hot favourite to take out this heat. I think Manuel Bale will get squeezed out early with Sunny Boy Love holding the fence behind High Earner. Outwide, Springvale Dash and Dyna Forte will more than likely get beaten for speed early but they are both strong and will be scorching home out wide on the track at the end of the race.

High Earner, Sunny Boy Love, Springvale Dash, Dyna Forte

Semi Final 3

This is one tough mofo of a race. The only genuine early speed in the race seems to come from Mr Metz, but he is meeting one hot heat and if he does not lead, he will not run a place, so thats a gamble there. Prankster and Lady Gaga are both unreliable at box rise, as is Dentax Bale, but he is definetly a case for the fence. In a race, where I could go 10 different ways and still miss it by a long shot, lets take Lady Gaga and hope that Jason Thompson has this dog firing tonight. For second I will take Prankster to carve across with Dentax Bale rattling home. Look also for Grand Siyan who will stay outwide and avoid all trouble. Mr Metz to find trouble early and run near last.

Lady Gaga, Prankster, Dentax Bale, Grand Siyan

Semi Final 4

Turanza Bale has been one of the most unluckiest chasers in recent times but definetly one of the most talented. He is a case for the fence as he jsut crashes left and rails hard. He showcased this in The Shootout when he refused to go around Velocette and was nailed to the rail. Fedex and Sheoak Ian will come out running and could cause each other trouble and Turanza Bale may end up closer than normal. Strictly Mambo to be charging late.

Turanza Bale, Fedex, Strictly Mambo, Sheoak Ian

Albion Park

Lay - Bellbird Park (Race 2, No.1) - This was my lay last week when it ran 5th as second favourite. Tonight it meets a similiar assignment if not harder. Speed in 2,3,5 will ensure if it leads it will have to work extremely hard for it and will be found wanting at the end. If it does not lead it cant run a place. Treat with caution.

Best - 2 Best bets on the card.

Robo Raptor (Race 6, No.3) - Highly talented youngster who is as tough as they come. Will prove far too superior and is a must for quaddie anchors. Follow this dog in some feature events in future.

Visualisation (Race 10, No.1) - Was goin to make this the special last week but thought it would be way too short from box 5, but sent it around nearly $4!!!. From box 1, it looks a treat to hold the lead into the first turn and if it does, that will be the end of it.

Value - Mystic Rumble (Race 5, No.6) - Not suited to a tight track like Lismore, this greyhound should get a little more room to move. It's run behind Black Attack when it went done a nose (0.03L), was an awesome effort and even though it has only won 1 of 16 here, it has been placed in another 7 and he should be figuring in the finish somewhere.

Dapto

Lay - Snowsill (Race 7, No.8) - 3 starts, 3 wins. On paper looks good and against this line up, it looks very good. However, based on times, a 22.99 Bulli win, 30.54 and 30.33 at Dapto, is good without being anywhere near spectacular. This will surely get sent around odds on, and with dogs like Deaksey, Seriously, Cool Lion Heart and Autowave who might get a clear crack tonight, can run very similiar time so I would definetly be wary on this and it will not be an anchor for me tonight.

Best - Excel Like Speed (Race 5, No.8) - If you want an anchor in the quaddie this is it. Class act who meets extremely moderate opposition. Will get a clear run from the pink and should land on the speed and career off the back straight and win easily.

Value - He's Hotz Stuff (Race 9, No.2) - Recorded his PB off this draw and drops a little in class. Has recorded 3 wins from 7 starts at this track but his numeric form of 55485 is enough to sway punters away and send this dog out at way over the odds. Has not raced for 3 weeks, so will be fresh for this event. Ticket each-way.

Hobart

Lay - Hudson (Race 5, No.8) - Has not missed a place from his last 5 starts but all have been from inside boxes. He draws off the track and thats definetly the wrong spot for this greyhound. This will get sent around favourite, and do not be at all surprised if it misses a place.

Best - Lettuce Leaf Lad (Race 7, No.1) - Seriously, this dog has had worst luck than you will see of late. Draws inside and the check is a slow wide runner. Surely it bounces back tonight. Has a sizzling PB to his name and should get room to move early. Wins.

Value - Swami (Race 10, No.8) - In what seems a fairly evenly matched race on paper, Swami is a talented ex-Victorian dog who has been racing against the likes of Pure Thirst and Pneumonia Alley. He likes to track wide in races, so he wont miss a place from this box.

Sandown Park

Race 1

Early pace from Black Sakura and Sassi Jay will be challenging for the early lead. Greysynd Thunder boxed well out wide and has not missed a top 2 finish in its last two starts and Upsy Daisy will be charging along the fence late.

Black Sakura, Greysynd Thunder, Upsy Daisy, Sassi Jay

Race 2

Hooded Keats should be able to lead this field comfortably with Banger Harvey sitting right on its back. These 2 should get space to race early and clear out with a big enough lead to battle out the finish. The two strongest dogs in the race are Shakey Bake and Allen Ulrick. If there is any trouble up front watch for these swoopers.

Hooded Keats, Banger Harvey, Shakey Bake, Allen Ulrick

Race 3

Smoken Ichiban looks like he will get every chance to lead all the way, Guacamole will just stay outwide and grind away all the day. Tethrahedron, Acquired Taste, Kurnai King and Join the Queue will be the swoopers from the back.

Smoken Ichiban, Guacamole, Join the Queue, Tethrahedron

Race 4

Ashby Rose bounced back to form with a super 25.30 win at Warnambool and if she repeats that, she will win here. Cruiser Joy is a talented bitch who has had no luck of late. Same can be said about the McDonald trained Rose Chalice. These 2 are both open for improvment. Teaman Titch and Questa Bale will be giving the leaders a start but they are the swoopers.

Ashby Rose, Cruiser Joy, Rose Chalice, Questa Bale

Race 5

Last week, I layed Gypsy Flame as the favourite and it ran 5th. Tonight, it is boxed and positioned well in this race. There is no direct speed near it, and it should be able to find the lead at the first turn. Based on its recent 29.85, if this happens it should lead all the way. Merrily Mack is boxed well and is a smart thinking greyhound who will utilise this box well. Cooper Bale and Blitzem Bale will be flying late.

Gypsy Flame, Merrily Mack, Cooper Bale, Blitzem Bale

Race 6

Mystical Soul is boxed to win and only breaking down will stop it from winning. The inside 3 boxes should fill the minor placings here with all their early dash. Standout special for quaddie.

Mystical Soul, Book Of Music, Arvo's Breeze, Fire Miss

Race 7

Zenith meets a group that would be battling to stay within 3 lengths of it to the first marker. Tonight it should run them ragged with a sizzling first split. Nelly Bale and Violet Crumble are both showing good form and from the inside 2 boxes they should be running right behing the tearaway leader. Arvo's Florence can be hit n miss but watch it mid-race start to warm up.

Zenith, Violet Crumble, Nelly Bale, Arvo's Florence

Race 8

The key to the race comes from the inside boxes. Gabla Jack has great toe and Crossfarnogue ran a sizzling 5.13 to the first marker when it took a star like Birthday Boy to run it down. Put it on top over Galba Jack. Miss Mega Pins should get a gun run behind the leader and watch for Viva Vegas and Ultra Rumble flashing late.

Crossfarnogue, Galba Jack, Miss Mega Pins, Ultra Rumble

Race 9

Who Told Helen is dropping in class and could find the early lead and take the cash at her 82nd start. Viva Las Vegas is not drawn on the right side of the track but does have a slashing 25.30 win at Ballarat from an inside draw and should get all the favours behind the leader. Stagger Inn, Kandy Bale and Lots of Moolah best of the race for multiples.

Who Told Helen, Viva Las Vegas, Kandy Bale, Lots of Moolah

Race 10

Another Innings had not an ounce of luck last week and depsite its awkward draw, gets its chance to improve on its debut with the big boys. Selynya Magic was my value tip last Thursday night and went down half a length at $22. It will be suited by a wide draw and should be figuring somewhere in the finish. Best of the rest, are the four inside boxes who all show speed and would not surprise.

Another Innings, Selynya Magic, Brazen Buey, Bomber Fury

Race 11

Last Stress has been racing against the best of the best lately and it drops back in class tonight and should get a clear run from the pink. Catch up Sunday and Intoxicate are both young dogs showing loads of talent and with luck they should feature prominently. Lucent has talent.

Last Stress, Catch Up Sunday, Intoxicante, Lucent

Originally Posted by Oaksnaf
4/7 Bets bets won. Well done on the Strike Rate. But hard to make money at those odds day in day out.

Have you kept a track of your average odds and which odd ranges are more profitable?

Very true. To be honest, I do not personally bet on my "best" bets all the time, because even if they are the best of the card, if they are too short IMO, I will leave them alone. This thread I guess is more being used as a guide for anyone possibly wanting to bet at a certain meeting and hopefully steer a winner or value there way. As a rule, I prefer to back the value runners obvioulsy, but I may not actually nominate the good one on my pre-race form, as sometimes the markets can throw you some doozies you do not expect.

Example - My Amigo at Albion Park I thought would be close to even money mark and was the clear class factor in the Young Guns Final..He blew out to $2.90/$1.70 and if you could get fixed odds that, you would load up for certain each-way. But I could not predict it starting even close to that price.


Also, the lays help me earn money too in regards to going wide in exotic betting which I am currently working on. For instance, yesterday my lays were:

Pure Tonic - Sent out $1.80 favourite beaten - Unplaced
New Divide - Sent out $2.30 favourite beaten - Third but no Third Dividend
Springvale Dash - Sent out $15 beaten (all money for high earner), TBH at $15 it was actually value lol - 2nd
Bellbird Park - Sent out $6 third favourite - Unplaced
Snowsill - Sent out $2.10 favourite beaten - 2nd
Hudson - Sent out $3.10 favourite beaten - Unplaced.

Now it does not always work that well, but if you look at the races were all those favourites got rolled, the exotics paid nicely. Obviously, you had to get the rest, but yeah.

I will be scrapping recording the best bet tally's as in thinking about it a little closer, I dont think a 50/100 will work with best bets, where as with value runners (which currently is 75% of my betting) does prove to work with me. I would advise people to follow the value runners anyway, as you have to outlay too much to win a similiar amount backing the shorties.

On paper it was an okish night. At Sandown Race 2, I stood out the winner and with my other 3 selections found the first four which paid $493. And later on I boxed the first four which paid $300. In that race, I was a lip from standing out the winner too, just getting nailed on the line which I saw happening as soon Arvo's Florence bounced into 2nd at first turn.

By the way, if I ever tip Lettuce Leaf Lad again, shoot me. That dog can find more trouble than a chubby kid in a cake shop..Unreal how much trouble this dog finds.

Hope you all did well last night!!

Nice summary mate. Hope you come good next time. I only bet your valued picks coz if only one come in I do ok.

coops

Cheers!!

Swami was the last race of the night and got up for me at $4.40/$1.90.. Nothing super flash, but still a decent price.


Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 14th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $3300
Return - $3380

Profit - $80 (+2.4%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.



Shepparton



Lay - Supreme Level (Race.6 No.8) - This is the beauty of dog racing. Last week I labelled this my best bet and it got the bikkies. But I tell you now, it was not in the slight bit impressive. It fell in, over a very very ordinary field. It has never missed a place from the pink, but with dogs like Egyptian Boy and Pegasus directly inside of him, and also speedy begins in the inside traps, today's assignment is going to be much harder. Based on its last 3 runs on time form, and also watching the replay of last week's race, I am highly confident this well backed will get rolled. Sent around $1.90 red hot favourite and bombed the start and this was the end of that. Definetly not racing anywhere near his best. Treat warily in future.


Best - Bernie Beetroot (Race 4, No.4) - Horrible field. Young dog on the up and drops in class from mixed 4/5 into a 1-4 wins field. Super winner in 31.38 and 31.53. Only need to run similiar to blow field away. Jumped into second and railed hard to find the lead and was far too strong blowing them away mid-race to pay around $2.60/$1.40


Value - Jigsaw Lass (Race 9, No.6) - Racing without an ounce of luck lately. Can run some quick early sectionals and put it into the finish. Drawn well out wide and drops in class on his past 4 runs where she has met Nikita Beriman, Sangarakka, Unsmashable and Supreme Level. They are all stars of the provincial circuit. Big odds. No luck again early for this greyhound. Found the fence mid-race and was trying to make ground but was beaten along way into 4th, just being pipped for 3rd spot. Was sent out $23W/$4P


Nowra

Lay - No obvious lays on today's card.

Best - Bim Bam (Race 6, No.4) - In what looks to be between On Parole and Bim Bam, I really like this dog for its earlier toe than On Parole. No doubting Parole's class but it does everything wrong to get beat and at better odds, the run behind Tyson Magic was super last week, and before that clocked an impressive 30.25. That'll do me!!

Value - Hungry Bear (Race 5, No.8) - The kennelmate will more than likely start odds on in this final for the maidens, but this time Hungry Bear gets the good pink draw and should be able to avoid trouble out wide. Worked home behind the favourite well last start and keeps improving with everyone. Lots of speed in middle and rail boxes, ensures that the favourite won't have this on a platter.

Traralgon

Lay - Mel (Race 8, No.7) - Improving type who uncharactistically came off the pace to score her heat in a slick 29.93. Lots of trouble in the race she won, and she was a beneficiary of it. Field here is much much stronger and installed a 7/4 fav early is a bit rich for me. Look to others.

Best - Connor's Fury (Race 7, No.8) - No luck at last two when slow early and dogs smashing into him on the fence. Today draws outwide at a track he has won 2 from 2. Meets a decent, but not special group of dogs. Should blaze down the outside and clear them by the first turn.

Value - Phelan Ready (Race 5, No.1) - Always thereabouts. Can be erratic early but ran home well when placed at Cranbourne. Might get a decent run through if it stays nailed to the rail. The field is moderate and could surprise although I am sure the punters will send it around a $6 shot even tho it should be at 10s

The Gardens

Lay - Lucy Tanga (Race 8, No.1) - Impressive winner of last 2 in solid time and draws coveted red box. This will ensure it gets sent around favourite and there is alot of early dash in this race especially from Mud Blood who is a personal favourite. Again, this should be a $4.20 shot from the red and I doubt it will get out to that. More than likely $2.20 and thats unders.

Best - Valiant Journey (Race 2, No.8) - Class chaser who has been out of sorts lately. Did record a super Nowra sprint win a little back and was slightly dissappointing at Dapto when sent around short. Gets chance from his good draw to improve and should find this field more to its liking.

Value - Nat Cool (Race 7, No.8) - I really really like this dog tonight as a great chance. Will use box 8 to perfection. In an extremely open race you should get some juicy value for whoever you like, but his form from outside boxes is excellent of recent. Definete follower!!!!

Albion Park

Lay - Mythbuster (Race 7, No.1) - Slow beginner who likes to use a bit of the track. With that being said, box 1 definetly wont suit. Show no regard to its PB of 30.20 from the red on the track. Lots of speed in 2 and 3, and Lettuce Whistle has by far the best finishing burst in this field.

Best - Halie Rose Hi (Race 6, No.1) - Gives the impression the 520 will suit. Top form over the shorts with not much luck. Should be able to lead this group on its ear, and provided it can even find the line moderately. Should just win.

Value - Early Secret (Race 4, No.1) - Unplaced in last 5 runs, but has been racing in 10x harder company than it meets here. Gets a box to improve, and this lot is very veryyyyyyyy ordinary. Numeric form might spice up his price, but he should definetly improve tonight.

Scarlett Girl - (Race 1, No.5) - No luck in any of its first 4 starts. Showing huge promise. Meets another ordinary bunch again and look for it to blow this field away. Only query is first starters .

Won @ $3ISH



Follow the comments, this dog absoultely teared apart the maiden final field and recorded an unbelievable 29.65.

Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 18th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $4050
Return - $3880

Profit - $-170 (-4%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.


Angle Park

Lay - Diana Bale (Race 8, No.1) - Has speed to burn early which will be why this should be sent out right in the market. Very weak at the end of its racing and lead all the way recently in a far below par run of 30.86. This field is much stronger and with a quicker beginner on its outside in Nirimba Dancer will sure be tussling in the early stages and this dog does doesnt like that. ClasS from all the boes 5-8 should tell.

Best - Border Patrol (Race 7, No.2) - Has not done much wrong since coming to SA. Only failure was at Angle Park when he founds bucketloads of trouble and even then he clocked a respectable 30.59. Other wins have been impressive on the bunny and should have the pace to be prominent at the first turn and lead all the way.

Value - Brer Fox (Race 3, No.8) Racing without much luck of late. Tends to find trouble in its racing which doesn't help its cause. Concern is in over 100 starts it has not won from Box 8, but does have 4 wins from the 7. Drops slightly in class today, and with Rowland Bale who is generally a slow beginner, it could position up much closer and is a strong dog at the end of its races. Each-way ticket.


Devonport

Lay - Topline Doovee (Race 6, No.1) - Great tassie chaser who has the amazing stats of 9 starts for 7 wins and 2 placings at TRK/DIST. Won last 3 on end in brilliant fashion and even though Gardam Prince will probably start favourite, this dog will definetly be the close 2nd fav. Would not be surprised to see Gardam to start $2.20 with Topline around $2.70. I highly doubt it can hold out Gardam Prince at the first turn and with swooping runs from the middle of the track from Accounts, Cradoc Park, Shunted it is going to make the job ultra hard for him to take the cup down and at the price, I would definetly love to be a bookie!. Gardam Prince though with too much toe early to lead all the way for me.

Best - Perfect Socks (Race 10, No.7) - Looks perfectly placed in this GR5 after scoring an ultra impressive win from a similiar box in 30.02 at Launceston. Minor query is yet to win at track in 3 starts(2 minors), but over this distance it should ping, cross the field, and if it does, get in the queue.

Value - One Wheel (Race 7, No.1) - OoOoOo - This is the one I tipped to run second in the heats at monstrous odds when the lure broke down. It was vying for the lead, and had held out Akka Boy for the moment. It's numeric form is horrible. Early markets have it at 7/1. No one has it tipped it anywhere. I feel very confident of a big run. This dog has bundles of ability and when it put its all together its one slick dog. Not the best beginner in Whispering Blaze on the outside of it, is going to make its job much easier. Follow hard!

Horsham

Lay - Supreme Level (Race 7, No.8) - Layed it last week when sent around odds-on and missed a place. Today, it won't get into odds on, but you can guarantee it will be right in the market. Its form has really tappered off of late. Today, it meets a field about 10x harder than it did last start. Based on what Ive seen lately, I doubt it will even run a place in this field.

Best - Remo Rubik (Race 8, No.8) - Wow, does this look like a good thing or what. Marrok Bale is a slow railer. Box 6 is empty. Our Toyman could not come out running if its life depended on it. It is going to have not a trouble in the world leading tonight. Drops ridicuosly in class and if you get anywhere CLOSE to the $2.10 in the watchdog form, get on and get on hard.

Value - Lankan Flash (Race 5, No.8) - Looks like will start double figures and has 3 good runs back from a short spell. Races consistently being placednearly 50% of all starts and altho I have recently learnt of the bad position of box 8 at Horsham over the decent, I do believe with alot of speed drawn in the inside 4 boxes there could be some carnage and this dog can begin good.

Ipswich

Lay - Sheeza Picture (Race 8, No.7) - Quickest heat winner but from an inside draw. Not suited at all to the 7 and yet to win from Box 6 or out. Meets a field full of talent that can run similiar time and many of the dogs are drawn better. Labelled prepost favourite, I wouldnt be jumping in too hard....

Best - Crystalizaion (Race 9, No.2) - Found its distance as a stayer. Took a while to learn about racing but is now putting its best paw forward. Drawn close to the rail for once (15 starts for only 3 starts in boxes 1-4, the other 12 starts boxes 5-8), is an upcoming who meets a field where it shouldnt miss a place if it gets rolled.

Value - Royal Samba (Race 5, No.3) - Been racing with no luck at all of late. Is normally a front running greyhound who finds it tough to finish races off, but has definetly been getting stronger and stronger in racing. Found lots of trouble last week and did not get beat a long way in a slick time. Look for it to bounce back and lead tonight and run em a merry dance.

Hey poizun, your updates of monies won betting 50/100 has got me curious with my own top picks to see how I would go in those terms, I have a few months of results so I'll check it out and let everyone know. Do you bet in the exotic pools?

Yes. I am still trying to work out what is most profitable. Doing value runners at 20W/40P...50W/100P..like that seems to work very well because im not backing favourite, but more dogs which are going to place alot and pay anywhere from 2-6 dollars a place but when they do get up. they pay well!!

I tried this with best bets for a while, and it did not work too well as alot of them were too short.

hey guys, If you back value runners at double figure odds at 20w/40p would that be any good?

coops

Only if you can pick them at the right price.

Yes, but you would want to be getting them to place 1/3 and winning 1/10 to be profitable..If you are confident you can do that, then you are laughing.

Remember, alot of money in punting is dead money. And by that, I mean people at the TAB following everyone else. Dogs that should be $3.00 gets crunched into odds on because someone has 2k on it..then aabout 10 people see the big move for it, so they follow it and next think you know, its going around a $1.60 fav... Backing double figure odds is great if you can find the right dog. Dont be afraid to back afraid to back a 6-7-8 dollar shot because if you think the dog is nearly the best in the race, well there is your value.

just worked out my top selections at your 50/100 outlay $25650 return $26605 profit of $955 so return of 3.59% on outlay. That is from the dates of 16-12-09 until 28-12-09. so a ok return on less then 2 weeks.

Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 20th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $4650
Return - $4510

Profit - $-140 (-3%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Run of Lays getting beaten - 16

*Lays are 80% of the time, one of the top 3 dogs in the market and around 30-40% of the time they are favourites. Anyone can lay a 100-1 shot, but my selections are dogs either favourite or in the market!

Bendigo

Lay - Marchell (Race 5, No.3) - Watchdog has tipped on top and looks suited here? Not even close. Virtually the entire field are handy dogs at this middle distance, where Marchell will struggle severly to not only match these dogs for early speed, but he will not be close to storng enough to hold them out. Big lay. Lucky to even run a place, look for him at the tail of the field. Sent out as third favourite and ran last. Enough said.

Best - Ashleigh Ella (Race 7, No.8) - Big class factor who blew away the super impressived Aston Trivett in 30.03 when last in week. Loves wide draws. Had no luck when first up from a spell when barely beaten in slick time by the smart Tis The One. Looks suited to this draw and class and should cover this lot well. Sizzled early sizzled home. Lead all the way in a flying 24.01

Value - Girl from Texas (Race 10. No.2) - Will without a doubt start double figures, if not in the 20's somewhere. Form looks ordinary but has been racing against the likes of Miss Martini, Cool Times and Olga Doll.. All very slick runners who would blow this field away. Only win came from this same draw and with a very ordinary field combined here, look for improvement at huge odds.

Maitland

Lay - No lay on card. Wanted to put Seize the moment, but it does have lengths on the field. But still be wary when taking him today. He musters well but this field can squeeze him up early and alot of this dogs will run about in 22.70 or 60 with a clear go and will make it hard from him to come behind in that sort of time. Super Laurie is the main danger in that race. Sent out odds on and didn't even run a place. Enough said.


Best - No best bet on the card

Value - Devine Rise (Race 4, No.8) - In a race jammed back with formlines and dogs putting strings of wins and 2nds together, the red based on its 22.66 win from the red looks like it will gets sent out a short favourite, but with speed in 2 and 3, I can see this dog getting cramped and chopped out early. Boxes 6 and 7 have no speed at all, so this will suit Devine Rise in the pink, as well as recording his PB from this box and the big wide track will ensure this dog gets every possible. BIG SHOW. Did not see race, just result. 2nd

Agent Maxwell (Race 10, No.6) - Really interesting dog. Has had one win at the track in a sizzling 22.64. I tell you now, if it runs this, it will win and win well. This is not a hard race. Form looks ordinary, but has been racing harder dogs than this. Gets its chance to bounce back into the winners list and as long as it handles Box 6, it goes close.

Sandown

Lay - Pub Fund (Race 11. No.3) - Prolific provincial winner not suited to the 515m at Sandown, nor the short run to the first marker. Needs to lead clearly to have even a chance of hanging on. Bit of a speed outside of it, and as the more than likely favourite of the race, Id glad lay this then be a punter 10/10.

Best - Paragon Patch (Race 8, No.3) - Grand ole chaser who can wreck its chances by bad beginnings. If this dog has any luck in running it will win and win running away..Am glad it is drawn closer to the fence then out wide. Both dogs on its inside dont show blistering pace, so it should position up close enough to take control on the point of the home turn. Cant miss a place.

Value - Another Innings (Race 9, No.8) - No luck of late and I mean no luck at all. Not super ideally drawn in the pink at sandown but with 2 wins and 2 placings from 5 starts from outside draws, he can certainly handle it. Meets a full field of provincial chasers and recently has been racing against the ilk of Iso Octane (off the pace to 3 lengths).

Angle Park

Lay - Cyan Lorian (Race 9, No.2) - The HotDog form have this greyhound as their top pick and top rated. Not sure if this is correct, but if it is, I am a bit surprised. Even though it looks as though the trip wiil suit, stepping up ridiculously in class against the likes of Kimberely Jinx, Barely's Image and the ultra impressive Satanic Cash (who really should be winning)

Best- High Earner (Race 8, No.1) - How can you look past him after last weeks top win. Drawn ideally in the red and Dyna Lachlan and Turanza Bale drawn next to him arent the best of beginners lately so he will have every chance to lead and if he does he wins. Simple. Star chaser.

Value - Redline Elly (Race 3, No.1) - Hit n miss beginner who needs some clear room early. No doubt its motor and I always like to back dogs with big motors. Wouldnt say its ideally drawn in the red but is a class factor dog.

Albion Park

Lay - Velocity Trish (Race 5, No.3) - Boxed shocking with Long Time Mama on it's inside a notorious quick beginner and Tap and Rack who is classer type who has been racing the likes of Vociferious and Robo Raptor. Wont get any room to move early and is an on pace runner. Can't come off the pace. Leave alone.

Best - Visualisation (Race 7, No.3) - Had it last week when it ran 2nd, aim to go one better here when racing verse the odds-on in the red. Should get value because of this fact and loves Albion Park being placed 18 of 24 runs there with a slashing PB of 30.13.

Value - Carlingford Frost (Race 10, No.2) - No speed at all in the inside 4 boxes will allow this dog every possible chance to land in front over the 600m. If it does, very hard to hold out and will be huge odds. Has been out of form of late, but this race is suitable to bounce back.

Hobart

Lay - Capetown Kid (Race 3, No.3) - Slow beginner who needs everything to go right. Hotdogs top tip meets a pretty solid Maiden Semi final. Look for him to be in trouble and unwinding at the end into third.

Best - Damek (Race 5, No.1) - Not sure what this dog is doing in a maiden series in Hobart after its almost unbelievable 26.10 Heat win. To give you an idea of how dominating that is, in the 8 semi finals, the 2nd quickest dog went 26.47. The difference between him and the next best dog out of the remaining 64 dogs is 6 lengths. Thats dominating. He is short and he wins. He wins final too.

If you want another measuring stick for this greyhound, Prankster won the Hobart Cup in 26.05. Enough said for a dog having his first race start from Box 5 too lol.

Value - Spark Driver (Race 1, No.6) - Races like this distance will suit and has his solo victory from a wide draw. Favourite last time was victorious but not ultra impressive. Big odds and worth an each-way ticket.

Dapto

Lay - On Parole (Race 6, No.2) - I am probably going to regret this and this will end my streak of lays, but I have to stick with my gut. Dog has a flawless record of 5 wins and 2 seconds at 7 starts at the track. However, it meets one of the hottest fields this dog has encountered. It has no early speed anymore at all. Half these dogs can break 30 seconds and for the simple fact that he wont lead this field and he is going to need luck hugely, I am going to advise against anchoring this in exotics or backing.

Best - Snowsil (Race 9, No.1) - Again, I layed this at even money last week and it got rolled for the first time in its career. Tonight, boxed much much better it should get the cake. No luck last start, it should get a sweet ride on the rails and improve to victory.

Value - Billy Said (Race 8, No.2) - Dog is racing with not an ounce of luck. Came off the pace to run 3rd beaten 4 lengths in a SUB 30 time at Nowra. This dog is reknowned for being a front running dog. Tonight it gets it chance to lead and be veryyyy hard to roll if this happens.

Value - Spark Driver (Race 1, No.6) - Races like this distance will suit and has his solo victory from a wide draw. Favourite last time was victorious but not ultra impressive. Big odds and worth an each-way ticket.

Sent out a whopping $53.80 and ran second beaten along way by the $1.30 long odds on favourite, with the 2nd and 3rd favourite running 3rd and 4th, the F4 paid over 1k which is amazing...

Just for the place, it paid $7.90....... Happy days...

Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 21st (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $5850
Return - $6040

Profit - $190 (+3%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Run of Lays getting beaten - 22

Broken Down Results of lay run
Favourite - 9
2nd Favourite - 4
3rd Favourite - 4
Other - 4


*Lays are 80% of the time, one of the top 3 dogs in the market and around 30-40% of the time they are favourites. Anyone can lay a 100-1 shot, but my selections are dogs either favourite or in the market!

Shepparton

Lay - Punk Norris (Race 9, No.3) - Talented youngster who 3 wins have all come at the Meadows in slashing times for a lightly raced dog. Of late, this dog has been a bit dicey at box rise, and today over the 390m it is very vulnerable in a field which does not necessarily have immense depth, but just about each dog can hold their own in a race like this. I say too much zip in this field for Punk and at the $2.40 watchdog have put up, leave alone.

Best - Irinka Joshua (Race 6, No.8) - Dog which I have never tipped before but stats dont lie. Blistering winner 2 starts back in BOD 22.12 and then it took a dog of the ilk of Nova Surf to blouse him in a sizzling 22.03 at Ballarat. 3 of 5 wins come from wide draws. Too many things point to good thing.

Value - Bozzco (Race 8, No.3) - Really really like this dog. Bombed it last week and ran into about 5 dead-ends until making late ground beaten a fair way into 5th. When last in work was racing against Timberland and Hayder Bale and such. He does need to begin a little better but if he does, look for improvement and each-way odds. Big big show.

Casino

Lay - Rapid Puzzle (Race 6, No.4) - Sizzling winner at Tweed Heads recently in a scorching BOD 23.43. This race is much harder and draws a horror box at the tight Casino track. Will need to be at his ultra ultra best to lead at the first turn, and again in a field which again can all hold its own, the dog that leads will probably win and I cant see this dog doing it with the speed Mystical Mandy and Grand Canyon and She Rose High have between it.

Best - Go Wild Me (Race 12, No.1) - Talented type resuming from a spell. Recorded a solid trial result recently and with Norway Miss who is reknowned slow beginner, this greyhound should get a sweet lead and recorded its 13th win.

Value - Kamikaze Magpie (Race 8, No.6) - Dog has one of the biggest motors in QLD but also has half a brain. Bounced back to its best form at Ipswich when first up from a spell recording a blistering 25.11 win over the 431m. Has been freshened up again for this assignment and awkward box should ensure it gets sent around a $6 shot and if I get that or over, Ill jump on board.

Traralgon

Lay - Dan Flack (Race 4, No.8) - Been racing consistently of late but not really recording the times to be competitive here. Comatosed won last start from an inside draw in 16.98 where as Dan lead all the way from an outside box in just 17.48. Loads of talent drawn inside and banking on one of those 3 to easily hold Dan Flack to the first turn.

Best - Sir Stackalot (Race 2, No.6) - In a race lacking any real depth, this greyhound has shown alot of consistency lately and is due to break through in this field. Only minor query for me is the 7 crashes to the fence but is a slow beginner, so it should be able to avoid the 7. If it can, it should win.

Value - Shadowlands (Race 6, No.1) - Greyhound that has loads of talent but rarely puts it together. Draws the red today which is always a case for improvement and with luck in running, this dogs numeric form should send it around double figures, and dont be surprised to see it feature.

The Gardens

Lay - Jedd Lion (Race 9, No1) - Small field suits but will be giving 2 or 3 smart dogs a decent start and cant see this dog coming from behind. Hotdogs top pick at 7/4 looks toast.

Best - Odessa Shiraz (Race 4, No.1) - Looks the class factor of her heat. As long as she takes no ill-effect from her last start tumble then this should be landing on the bunny and running them ragged as shown by her string of wins.

Value - Bogie Brave (Race 5, No.8) - Really interesting race where their looks to be a super speed battle early between the toey Octane Show and also Elite Blue Size. This should enable Bogie Brave to get a sweet cart out wide and run down the outside. Easily the strongest dog in the race, and with early carnage, look for it to swoop.

Albion Park

Lay - He'll do (Race 4, No.6) - Winner of 2 of 3 race starts over this sprint trip. Very weak last week when it was not able to lead clearly and noticably tired up the straight. Box 6 is horror over the sprint and this favourite will get polaxed early and miss a place.

Best - Sunlander (Race 9, No.2) - Something did not look right with Sunlander last week. Lets hope trainer has fixed it up because even if this dog is 75% it will be winning. Racing in outstanding fashion.

Value - Earth Quest (Race 8, No.6) - Slowly regaining the form which saw him winning races in the city. Lead and was run down by the smart Visualation recently. This is a super drop in class for it, but has to contend with a box 6. Great each-way show.

Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 24th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $6300
Return - $6260

Profit - -$40 (-0.6%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Run of Lays getting beaten - 27

Broken Down Results of lay run
Favourite - 10
2nd Favourite - 8
3rd Favourite - 4
Other - 5

*Lays are 80% of the time, one of the top 3 dogs in the market and around 30-40% of the time they are favourites. Anyone can lay a 100-1 shot, but my selections are dogs either favourite or in the market!

Geelong

Full Maiden meeting means very little exposed form as well as alot of first starter's so will not even attempt an analysis of the meeting.

With that being said, Pipczak has a talented Maiden running in the 4th race at Geelong known as Metropolis. Has not had much luck to date after firing out of boxes and getting run down over the 450m at Ballarat in the VBIS series. 347m suits and has been freshened right up for this assignment. Look for vast improvement if he has kept it this long. Longest price sent out in his 8 starts is $6.90 reflects his ability which he has not been able to showcase yet. Look for a similiar price today.

Shepparton

Lay - Joseph Bale (Race 8, No.1) - Highly talented greyhound who bounced back to winning form when taking out a decent Horsham race defeating Remo Rubik. Was gifted the race with the way the box draw panned out and alot of slow beginners around. Tends to get a long way back and pounds home, which suited at the long straight up the Horsham track. Different here at Shepparton with alot of speed early and see it getting way too far and rattling home when the race is over.

Best - Whistling Drive (Race 4, No.1) - Dropping massively in class from racing against the likes of Aint Workin, Next Top Model, Mantra Lad and Jean Jeannie. Tends to bomb the start at alot of his races but when he decides to wind up he has a sickening explosive burst at the end of the races and with lack of talent in this field, even his box skills should not get him beat. Couple him all up with Flash of Light.

Flash of Light (Race 7, No.1) - Absolutely no luck at all in recent runs in much harder company than it meets here. From the red, will jump in front and run them a merry dance. Far far too classy here and the price will reflect. For multi players, I would be looking at BENJI MAGIC to find some form and claim a placing behind the winner.

Value - Viva Las Vegas (Race 8, No.7) - Anticipating money will come fast and hard for Batesy red runner giving us something to work with, with this greyhound. Boxed perfectly out wide and two slow beginners in 6 and 8 means this greyhound should find the lead comfortably and whilst it can carve out 25.30 running out in front, doubt much will get near it.

Richmond

Lay - Velocity Gem (Race.8, No.5) - Superior numeric form (1,2,1,3,1) around the Bathurst sprint circuit and recently the 400m Richmond trip. Both runs around the 400m track has seen it round around 23.20. That is DEFINETLY not quick enough to even come close to winning this race. Combine that with a bad box and a pretty hot field. Easy lay.

Best - Moonshine Party (Race 7, No.1) - Drawn to perfection. Small field. Has dazzling early and mid race accelleration but finds it tough to run the full 535m out. With the field its in today though, should be able to easily set up a winnable lead and hold off any challengers.

Value - Killarney Babe (Race 3, No.8) - I really have a good feeling about this dog this afternoon and will have be having a sizeable crack. It has not won lately, but has been thereabouts in super company. Placed last week off the red in sizzling 22.61. Prior to that 4th behind Marko Polo, and the super impressive Seize the Moment. Its form is first class and it gets it chance to improve.

No time for tips tonight.



Cranbourne Cup Tip



Arvo's Florence - No disputing this up and coming chaser looks the goods. Drawn to perfection outwide, with the slow wide running Ultra Rumble in 8. Made the opponents look like cats in the heat and with all the FEDEX hype which I am taking no part of, I put this on top.



GL WITH PUNTING!!

Well, Arvo's Florence ended up blowing to the hills and paying an amazing $9.10 on the tote. Ridiculous overs for a dog drawn to perfection, racing in peak form and had the quickest heat win. All the FEDEX hype was to no avail.



Both lays for Monday were sent around favourite and missed placings..Lays are about to pop over 30 in a row, keep an eye on the run.



Whistling drive all into Flash of Light would get you $4.50 on ST. Not bad for a few lock dogs. Very surprised at Whistling Drives price to be honest.



Viva Las Vegas very dissapointing even tho didnt come out that well. Joseph Bale was smashed into near even money and bombed the start which was obvious and couldnt make ground on the Shepparton track.



Stay tuned for full cap of todays races..

Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 26th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $6600
Return - $6470

Profit - -$130 (-2%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Run of Lays getting beaten - 29

Broken Down Results of lay run
Favourite - 12
2nd Favourite - 8
3rd Favourite - 4
Other - 5

*Lays are 80% of the time, one of the top 3 dogs in the market and around 30-40% of the time they are favourites. Anyone can lay a 100-1 shot, but my selections are dogs either favourite or in the market!

Angle Park

Lay - Satanic Ruler (Race 2, No.6) - Ive burnt some money on this dog which charges late too much and today leave it alone. Its split times to the first marker are horrific and finds as much trouble in races as Lettuce Leaf Lad(thats saying something). It will be giving them a 10 length start again and good luck making that up at Angle Park

Best - Beer Time (Race 5, No.8) - Just looks too good on paper. $2.50 by watchdog. Wow if you get that, unload. Speed from Token Class will give it the sweetest cart accross and with no one in the field being able to get under 30.40 at best, this greyhound can go 5 lengths quicker than that. Really looks superior.

Value - Dolly's hand (Race 3, No.8) - Former Victorian dog who impressed in a few runs at Traralgon. Not a load of luck at the tough 535m Richmond in really tough company. Today it meets much much easier company. Draws a good box, and provided it has had a trial around the track and knows its way around, should be ultra prominent through out. Last 30 metres is the concern.

Sandown

Vic Breeders Maiden Series on today, so again with limited form and first starters, much too hard to correctly analyse the races.

Albion Park

Lay - Sargent Elite (Race 10, No.8) - Consistent sprinter who I believe is suited more to an inside draw than out. In a field where a few of them will run 23.00 flat on the bunny, the box will probably beat this dog, and Id prefer to lay then back as the hotdogs top rated and top picked greyhound.

Best - Tizza Lady (Race 2, No.1) - Sizzling 25.31 Ipswich winner on debut who had no luck in the final. Drawn the red over the 395m and meets one of the more moderate fields of recent times. Simply too good.

Value - On the Ball (Race 10, No.1) - In the race where I am laying the pink, I think this greyhound is due for a bit of good luck. And will receive every possible from the best draw over the sprint trip. Has been racing against the likes of Pink Character and Rickaby and none of these sprinters are of that ilk. Granted a few can hold their own, but this dog with a slow beginner in 2, is drawn to make a vast improvement on current numeric form. Go close.

The Gardens

Lay - Go Go Rock (Race 3, No.6) - Consistent performer clocking in 6 placings from 7 starts at track. Last start winner over the 272m from a draw closer to rails in ok time. Suspect over the 413m trip and meet a super handy field here and again the hotdogs top tip looks like it has met too much talent here to be competitive. Leave alone.

Best - Laurie's Placard (Race 6, No.8) - Super quick greyhound who has sizzling early and mid race pace. Drawn to perfection outwide and watch it scorch to the first marker and then put a gap on them down the back straight. Far too good.

Value - Pascaleena (Race 9, No.7) - Numeric form of 37874. Forget that. Highly talented dog who has been racing in MUCH MUCH harder than this lot. At best has scintillating box speed but tends to be found over the last 30 metres. Look for it to ping today and hopefully run them merry.