Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 21st (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $5850
Return - $6040

Profit - $190 (+3%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.

Run of Lays getting beaten - 22

Broken Down Results of lay run
Favourite - 9
2nd Favourite - 4
3rd Favourite - 4
Other - 4


*Lays are 80% of the time, one of the top 3 dogs in the market and around 30-40% of the time they are favourites. Anyone can lay a 100-1 shot, but my selections are dogs either favourite or in the market!

Shepparton

Lay - Punk Norris (Race 9, No.3) - Talented youngster who 3 wins have all come at the Meadows in slashing times for a lightly raced dog. Of late, this dog has been a bit dicey at box rise, and today over the 390m it is very vulnerable in a field which does not necessarily have immense depth, but just about each dog can hold their own in a race like this. I say too much zip in this field for Punk and at the $2.40 watchdog have put up, leave alone.

Best - Irinka Joshua (Race 6, No.8) - Dog which I have never tipped before but stats dont lie. Blistering winner 2 starts back in BOD 22.12 and then it took a dog of the ilk of Nova Surf to blouse him in a sizzling 22.03 at Ballarat. 3 of 5 wins come from wide draws. Too many things point to good thing.

Value - Bozzco (Race 8, No.3) - Really really like this dog. Bombed it last week and ran into about 5 dead-ends until making late ground beaten a fair way into 5th. When last in work was racing against Timberland and Hayder Bale and such. He does need to begin a little better but if he does, look for improvement and each-way odds. Big big show.

Casino

Lay - Rapid Puzzle (Race 6, No.4) - Sizzling winner at Tweed Heads recently in a scorching BOD 23.43. This race is much harder and draws a horror box at the tight Casino track. Will need to be at his ultra ultra best to lead at the first turn, and again in a field which again can all hold its own, the dog that leads will probably win and I cant see this dog doing it with the speed Mystical Mandy and Grand Canyon and She Rose High have between it.

Best - Go Wild Me (Race 12, No.1) - Talented type resuming from a spell. Recorded a solid trial result recently and with Norway Miss who is reknowned slow beginner, this greyhound should get a sweet lead and recorded its 13th win.

Value - Kamikaze Magpie (Race 8, No.6) - Dog has one of the biggest motors in QLD but also has half a brain. Bounced back to its best form at Ipswich when first up from a spell recording a blistering 25.11 win over the 431m. Has been freshened up again for this assignment and awkward box should ensure it gets sent around a $6 shot and if I get that or over, Ill jump on board.

Traralgon

Lay - Dan Flack (Race 4, No.8) - Been racing consistently of late but not really recording the times to be competitive here. Comatosed won last start from an inside draw in 16.98 where as Dan lead all the way from an outside box in just 17.48. Loads of talent drawn inside and banking on one of those 3 to easily hold Dan Flack to the first turn.

Best - Sir Stackalot (Race 2, No.6) - In a race lacking any real depth, this greyhound has shown alot of consistency lately and is due to break through in this field. Only minor query for me is the 7 crashes to the fence but is a slow beginner, so it should be able to avoid the 7. If it can, it should win.

Value - Shadowlands (Race 6, No.1) - Greyhound that has loads of talent but rarely puts it together. Draws the red today which is always a case for improvement and with luck in running, this dogs numeric form should send it around double figures, and dont be surprised to see it feature.

The Gardens

Lay - Jedd Lion (Race 9, No1) - Small field suits but will be giving 2 or 3 smart dogs a decent start and cant see this dog coming from behind. Hotdogs top pick at 7/4 looks toast.

Best - Odessa Shiraz (Race 4, No.1) - Looks the class factor of her heat. As long as she takes no ill-effect from her last start tumble then this should be landing on the bunny and running them ragged as shown by her string of wins.

Value - Bogie Brave (Race 5, No.8) - Really interesting race where their looks to be a super speed battle early between the toey Octane Show and also Elite Blue Size. This should enable Bogie Brave to get a sweet cart out wide and run down the outside. Easily the strongest dog in the race, and with early carnage, look for it to swoop.

Albion Park

Lay - He'll do (Race 4, No.6) - Winner of 2 of 3 race starts over this sprint trip. Very weak last week when it was not able to lead clearly and noticably tired up the straight. Box 6 is horror over the sprint and this favourite will get polaxed early and miss a place.

Best - Sunlander (Race 9, No.2) - Something did not look right with Sunlander last week. Lets hope trainer has fixed it up because even if this dog is 75% it will be winning. Racing in outstanding fashion.

Value - Earth Quest (Race 8, No.6) - Slowly regaining the form which saw him winning races in the city. Lead and was run down by the smart Visualation recently. This is a super drop in class for it, but has to contend with a box 6. Great each-way show.