Cheers!!

Swami was the last race of the night and got up for me at $4.40/$1.90.. Nothing super flash, but still a decent price.


Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 14th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections

Outlay - $3300
Return - $3380

Profit - $80 (+2.4%)

*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.



Shepparton



Lay - Supreme Level (Race.6 No.8) - This is the beauty of dog racing. Last week I labelled this my best bet and it got the bikkies. But I tell you now, it was not in the slight bit impressive. It fell in, over a very very ordinary field. It has never missed a place from the pink, but with dogs like Egyptian Boy and Pegasus directly inside of him, and also speedy begins in the inside traps, today's assignment is going to be much harder. Based on its last 3 runs on time form, and also watching the replay of last week's race, I am highly confident this well backed will get rolled. Sent around $1.90 red hot favourite and bombed the start and this was the end of that. Definetly not racing anywhere near his best. Treat warily in future.


Best - Bernie Beetroot (Race 4, No.4) - Horrible field. Young dog on the up and drops in class from mixed 4/5 into a 1-4 wins field. Super winner in 31.38 and 31.53. Only need to run similiar to blow field away. Jumped into second and railed hard to find the lead and was far too strong blowing them away mid-race to pay around $2.60/$1.40


Value - Jigsaw Lass (Race 9, No.6) - Racing without an ounce of luck lately. Can run some quick early sectionals and put it into the finish. Drawn well out wide and drops in class on his past 4 runs where she has met Nikita Beriman, Sangarakka, Unsmashable and Supreme Level. They are all stars of the provincial circuit. Big odds. No luck again early for this greyhound. Found the fence mid-race and was trying to make ground but was beaten along way into 4th, just being pipped for 3rd spot. Was sent out $23W/$4P


Nowra

Lay - No obvious lays on today's card.

Best - Bim Bam (Race 6, No.4) - In what looks to be between On Parole and Bim Bam, I really like this dog for its earlier toe than On Parole. No doubting Parole's class but it does everything wrong to get beat and at better odds, the run behind Tyson Magic was super last week, and before that clocked an impressive 30.25. That'll do me!!

Value - Hungry Bear (Race 5, No.8) - The kennelmate will more than likely start odds on in this final for the maidens, but this time Hungry Bear gets the good pink draw and should be able to avoid trouble out wide. Worked home behind the favourite well last start and keeps improving with everyone. Lots of speed in middle and rail boxes, ensures that the favourite won't have this on a platter.

Traralgon

Lay - Mel (Race 8, No.7) - Improving type who uncharactistically came off the pace to score her heat in a slick 29.93. Lots of trouble in the race she won, and she was a beneficiary of it. Field here is much much stronger and installed a 7/4 fav early is a bit rich for me. Look to others.

Best - Connor's Fury (Race 7, No.8) - No luck at last two when slow early and dogs smashing into him on the fence. Today draws outwide at a track he has won 2 from 2. Meets a decent, but not special group of dogs. Should blaze down the outside and clear them by the first turn.

Value - Phelan Ready (Race 5, No.1) - Always thereabouts. Can be erratic early but ran home well when placed at Cranbourne. Might get a decent run through if it stays nailed to the rail. The field is moderate and could surprise although I am sure the punters will send it around a $6 shot even tho it should be at 10s

The Gardens

Lay - Lucy Tanga (Race 8, No.1) - Impressive winner of last 2 in solid time and draws coveted red box. This will ensure it gets sent around favourite and there is alot of early dash in this race especially from Mud Blood who is a personal favourite. Again, this should be a $4.20 shot from the red and I doubt it will get out to that. More than likely $2.20 and thats unders.

Best - Valiant Journey (Race 2, No.8) - Class chaser who has been out of sorts lately. Did record a super Nowra sprint win a little back and was slightly dissappointing at Dapto when sent around short. Gets chance from his good draw to improve and should find this field more to its liking.

Value - Nat Cool (Race 7, No.8) - I really really like this dog tonight as a great chance. Will use box 8 to perfection. In an extremely open race you should get some juicy value for whoever you like, but his form from outside boxes is excellent of recent. Definete follower!!!!

Albion Park

Lay - Mythbuster (Race 7, No.1) - Slow beginner who likes to use a bit of the track. With that being said, box 1 definetly wont suit. Show no regard to its PB of 30.20 from the red on the track. Lots of speed in 2 and 3, and Lettuce Whistle has by far the best finishing burst in this field.

Best - Halie Rose Hi (Race 6, No.1) - Gives the impression the 520 will suit. Top form over the shorts with not much luck. Should be able to lead this group on its ear, and provided it can even find the line moderately. Should just win.

Value - Early Secret (Race 4, No.1) - Unplaced in last 5 runs, but has been racing in 10x harder company than it meets here. Gets a box to improve, and this lot is very veryyyyyyyy ordinary. Numeric form might spice up his price, but he should definetly improve tonight.