Originally Posted by Oaksnaf
4/7 Bets bets won. Well done on the Strike Rate. But hard to make money at those odds day in day out.

Have you kept a track of your average odds and which odd ranges are more profitable?

Very true. To be honest, I do not personally bet on my "best" bets all the time, because even if they are the best of the card, if they are too short IMO, I will leave them alone. This thread I guess is more being used as a guide for anyone possibly wanting to bet at a certain meeting and hopefully steer a winner or value there way. As a rule, I prefer to back the value runners obvioulsy, but I may not actually nominate the good one on my pre-race form, as sometimes the markets can throw you some doozies you do not expect.

Example - My Amigo at Albion Park I thought would be close to even money mark and was the clear class factor in the Young Guns Final..He blew out to $2.90/$1.70 and if you could get fixed odds that, you would load up for certain each-way. But I could not predict it starting even close to that price.


Also, the lays help me earn money too in regards to going wide in exotic betting which I am currently working on. For instance, yesterday my lays were:

Pure Tonic - Sent out $1.80 favourite beaten - Unplaced
New Divide - Sent out $2.30 favourite beaten - Third but no Third Dividend
Springvale Dash - Sent out $15 beaten (all money for high earner), TBH at $15 it was actually value lol - 2nd
Bellbird Park - Sent out $6 third favourite - Unplaced
Snowsill - Sent out $2.10 favourite beaten - 2nd
Hudson - Sent out $3.10 favourite beaten - Unplaced.

Now it does not always work that well, but if you look at the races were all those favourites got rolled, the exotics paid nicely. Obviously, you had to get the rest, but yeah.

I will be scrapping recording the best bet tally's as in thinking about it a little closer, I dont think a 50/100 will work with best bets, where as with value runners (which currently is 75% of my betting) does prove to work with me. I would advise people to follow the value runners anyway, as you have to outlay too much to win a similiar amount backing the shorties.

On paper it was an okish night. At Sandown Race 2, I stood out the winner and with my other 3 selections found the first four which paid $493. And later on I boxed the first four which paid $300. In that race, I was a lip from standing out the winner too, just getting nailed on the line which I saw happening as soon Arvo's Florence bounced into 2nd at first turn.

By the way, if I ever tip Lettuce Leaf Lad again, shoot me. That dog can find more trouble than a chubby kid in a cake shop..Unreal how much trouble this dog finds.

Hope you all did well last night!!