Sorry guys... Please see updated tip results and tips for today... Stay tuned for daily updates here on in.
Running total on Best Bets from Jan 5th - Jan 12th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.
Outlay - $3800
Return - $3655
Profit - -$145 (+3.9%)
Running total on Value Bets from Jan 10th - Jan 12th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections
Outlay - $1500
Return - $1665
Profit - $165 (+10%)
*Best Bets are dogs I view that should not miss a place and generally win. You will see small variance in profit but long term it should slowly rise and shouldnt lose money following these tips.
*Value Bets are dogs I anticipate the market will overlook and pay a respectable price. This does not necessarily mean they are the best dog in the race, but they are what I believe will pay overs. That being said, you will see a lot of variance in profit due to this fact.
Angle Park
Lay - Whatever Loz (Race 5, No.1) - Won 3 of 6, and despite drawing the red, meets probably its toughest field to date. Its wins have been in good time, but nothing spectacular. This dog reminds me similiar of Cool Fever yesterday who won its last 3, and lead up to the home str8 and fell in a hole to not even run a place. Based on times, this should happen again. Anticipating punters sending it out around a $3.00 shot, I wouldnt be taking anything less than $7-$8.
Best - Dragon State (Race 7, No.2) - Talented QLD sprinter having his first start in SA. Comes off racing against the likes of Fevolution and Veroficious and has been placed in 10 of 20 to date with 4 wins. Draws close to the rails, has been freshened up and is ready to win.
Value - Allen Rambla (Race 8, No.2) - Definite will be the value on the card. Ranked the 10/1 outsider by the hotdog form, this greyhound has numeric form of 885F8. Was showing enormous potentail in Victoria clocking a sizzling Geelong win in 25.6 as well as Shepp in 25.6 and Ballarat in 25.7. Has not found form or luck so far in Adelaide but today he can improve sharply against alot of greyhounds in similiar boats. Definite Each-Way ticket.
Sandown Park
Lay - Flying Pieces (Race 7, No.6) - Has strung three on end on the provincial tracks. Is a pure front running dog and this is its first test over the 515m, which based on its current racing, I personally do not think it will suit. Its other major problem is that it has brilliant beginners directly inside and outside of it. This will mean the odds of this dog leading clearly to the first turn are slim, and if it does not lead at the first turn, it will not even run a place.
Best - El Generale (Race 11, No.1) - Not necessarily the quickest dog in the race, however I think the way the boxes have panned out, everything tips into this dogs favour. Was a very solid winner at the Meadows in 30.36 on debut then followed up with a 2L defeat in 30.20.Mepunga Mac walks out of boxes and he is drawn in 2 and also Your Plumber in 3 doesnt show much early dash so this will give this greyhound loads of room early to move. Not only that there is bucket loads of speed in Boxes 5-8, so you can guarantee there will be some sort of carnage out wide.
Value - My Little Joyce (Race 10, No.2) - I labelled this a value runner last week when it ran third behind Nelly Bale and paid $3.70P and I think it is well positioned today to run a good race. Arvo's Falcon is the only real danger and the form outside of that is pretty slim. Only pays two dividends but look for another good run.
Albion Park
Lay - Back Page (Race 8, No.2) - Won past 3 at Rockhamption and Bunbury. Give no credit to dogs from this region. They will struggle in any Albion or Ipswich race. Lines up against a very classy field and probably wont even fill a drum.
Best - Sarah's Rival (Race 7, No.2) - I really think this dog is well placed in this event. Run home well in its last two after finding a little bit of bother. Is drawn to get a gun run behind early leader Mr Prizz and is proven at the 520m unlike alot of its rivals here.
Value - Chariot Hawk (Race 6, Box 8) - Death trap backing the pink over the 395m but this greyhound has been running some awesome races against some of QLD's best short course sprinters so from this wide draw he may take catching at each way odds.
The Gardens
Lay - Hot Size (Race 5, No.5) - Won 6 of 9 but most in moderate and will ensure it starts a blazing hot fav. Do not like it all from a squeeze box as its box skills leave a little to be desired. A few personal favourits in this race too, that I am leaning to and to be taken shorts for this dog, I would not be advising.
Best - Jaylo Magic (Race 9, Box.8) - Highly promising dog who has been slightly down on form of late. Today it draw's its box, meets extremely ordinary opposition and should atone and a good price.
Value - Holy Toly (Race 8, No.5) - No luck last two starts at all. Prior has been showing alot of promise as a youngster. Draws a rough box and good field which should enhance its price, but if it puts it all together. Watch out.
Ballarat
Lay - Nova Surf (Race 3, No.6) - Highly talented Sprinter who was sent out an extremely short elect in the Laurels final when beaten. Comes back into Darren's care when not firing on all cylinders back home in NSW. First up she draws a super talented field of short course specialists and draws a squeeze box. She will be sent around odds-on no doubt, and as Ambrosoli says, I would way prefer to be a bookie than a punter on this one.
Best - Sheylea (Race 10. No.8) - Racing in utter faultless form. Draws the best box it could want and even with Rellim Rosie in the race, Sheylea has all the times and wins on the board, there is no reason why it wont win again.
Value - Pot Thanks Cork (Race 4, No.2) - Finished 4L behind Flash of Light a few starts back which is good form for a race like this. Has not had much luck at box rise lately, and this dog can find the bunny and run.
Warnambool
Lay - Write To Mike (Race 9, No.7) - Greyhound who just gets luck to fall into its lap race after race. I really dont rank this sprinter that highly and it meets some smart types today with Will's Life more than likely cramp it up early and take it on in multiples tonight.
Best - Shiver Inside (Race 7. No.3) - Returned back to his brilliant best when recording a 25.4ish win last week. Drawn well close to the fence and his early dash should see him lead to the first marker and nothing will run him down if he records a similiar time.
Value - Pure City (Race 5, No.8) - No speed early but can definetly find the line over this range. Watch for him storming home at the end.
Bulli
Lay - Budapest (Race 5, Box.1) - This field is loaded with pace and it doesnt begin that well. Hotdogs have him tipped on top as a 5/2 favourite and I would clearly have Magnifique and Disintegrate in front of him, if not Gnarley boy too. Leave.
Best - Goodsey (Race 8, Box.7) - With Gripen Bale out, and drawing out side with all the speed inside, this looks like the race Goodsey can start making his mark as a topline sprinter. If thats comes out running or even positions up with the leaders by the home turn, watch explode up the straight and do not be surprised if breaks the magical 26 barrier.
Value - Janitor Bale (Race 7, Box.1) - Drops in class.Drawn to win. Simple
Bulli Cup Predications
Normally I do not like backing them odds on, but with ANY luck in running Goodsey has this lot covered. Hardest to beat outside of him is Disintegrate who should lead from the lovely box draw the reserve has picked up. Best of the rest is a toss up between Hurricane Luke (who i tipped on top at $5.40 in heats last week) and Little Sparkle.
Goodsey, Disintegrate, Hurricane Luke, Little Sparkle
Ipswich
Lay - Jimi Chew Shoes - Dog is similiar to Write to Mike. Alot of things have been going right for this dog of late. Guarantee it starts short and if this dog doesnt lead and come out running from the 7 it will get rolled at very skinny odds.
Best - Sunlander (Race 9, No.1) - Empty box in 2, small field. This will be as short as they come but its money for jam as they say. He has been racing in utter perfect form. Should break the magical 25 sec barrier too in this. Anchor galore.
Value - As you Do (Race 8, Box 8) - Handles the pink well, and has been racing super consistently. If there is any carnage at the first, this dog will zip around and nothing will run it down. Look for it to be in the firing line the whole way.
Tune in tomorrow as I do a Sandown special and full coverage of tomorrows meets.
Last edited by Poizun; 01-13-2010 at 06:45 PM.
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