Running total on Best Bets from Jan 5th - Jan 8th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.
Outlay - $1800
Return - $1942
Profit - $142 (+7.4%)
Shepparton
Lay - Quick Connect (Race 10, No.1) - Young dog who has had only a handfew of starts. Did win from this draw in a solid 25.69 but there are 3-4 other dogs who can run similiar time. Watchdog has him installed as $2.20 fav and I am pretty sure the punters will follow this dog, but this dog's other 2 runs were nothing flash and I just feel that the right price is around $4.70-$5 and you wont get close to this, so gamble and take this dog on and go wide in multiples.
Best - Supreme Level (Race 6, No.8) - Did not want to label this the special but for pure lack of anything else on the card standing out I have. Look, its clearly the best dog the race. It is boxed to perfection. I think its down a little bit on form, but expect it to bounce back verse an extremely moderate FFA field. Will be short, but expect it to win.
Value - Jigsaw Lass (Race 6, No.4) - In the same race as my best which I dont like either :O, but this dog has had absolutely no luck lately. And I mean not an ounce. It can show electric speed in the opening 75-100m which set up its early wins in its career. However, it has been solely raced at Bendigo nearly which had caused it to race in FFA class from start 5 or 6? The dog just was not ready. Still upcoming, will be monstrous odds, and I think is worth a solid place ticket.
Nowra
Lay - Rapid Unit (Race 5, No.4) - 2 wins and 2 seconds from its last 4 starts and only sub 30sec winner at this track will ensure this greyhound starts right in the market, if not favourite. The talent in this field is extremely deep and is 5x harder than this greyhound has experienced of late. Needs room to move early and this box will not do it any favours and I would be going very wide in exotic and multi-bets because I cant see this greyhound getting anywhere near them.
Best - Three for Ten (Race 6, Box.8) - One of the most reliable beginners you will see, and box 8 is utter perfection for this greyhound. Trained by one of the best, he meets a very very moderate Summer Cup Heat field and he should be far too superior for this bunch.
Value - Diamond Mollie - (Race 10, No.5) - Will not find a better beginner at Nowra in the 365m then this dog. She will be 2 in front within around 25m. The problem is 200m is about her capacity. She will be out in front and hope for carnage behind so she can hold on at good each way odds.
Albion Park
Lay - Sunlander (Race 8, No.3) - Risky move, but monitoring this dog at Ipswich lately, it has not been "pinging" but mustering after the first 30-40m. Today, it meets fast beginners in 1,2 and 4 and the Albion Park 395m is suicide if you dwell even a slight bit. I think this will be close to even money and I would be taking this for anything less than $3.
Best - Quinella $50 (Race 10, No. 1+5) - Couldnt split these two dogs and they do look classes above the rest. Dont think the market will exactly reflect this but I am fairly confident of this one. Only dogs I can see troubling the pair is boxes 7 and 8, but even then their current form is no match for these 2.
Value - Setanta (Race 5, No.7) - Not sure how the market will view this dog, but it is dropping stupidly in class. Even though this is a 4/5, its a really lightly talented 4/5. This dog has mixed it with some very smart dogs and has a slashing PB on track of 35.25, will be giving them a start but will charge late. Should be each way odds.
Traralgon
Lay - Slade Chaser (Race 9, No.4) - Bad box. In good form but bucketloads of speed in this race. I can see carnage in the middle and this one will be short. Stay away. Simple.
Best - Quantam Gold (Race 10, No.7) - Early markets have him at a $3.00. Id be jumping on him at any price he starts at. Ultra classy type. Drawn out wide. Has no opposition to beat. It just wins.
Scarlett Girl - (Race 1, No.5) - No luck in any of its first 4 starts. Showing huge promise. Meets another ordinary bunch again and look for it to blow this field away. Only query is first starters .
Value - Shadowlands (Race 7, No.6) - Gets a long way back in its races but will be definetly suited by the 658m trip. Only pays 2 dividends so be wary if packing for the place. Def an inclusion for all multiples and will add spice.
The Gardens
Lay - Direct Jolie (Race 8, Box 8) - Highly overrated sprinter. Does its best racing at WPK. Markets have at 2/1 and I can only name one dog that cant win the race, so with that being said. Put this as the lay of the card clearly.
Best - Surfing Billy (Race 10, No.1) - Have to wait till the last to lock in the best on the card. Drops in class severly from racing against the likes of Woy woy fav, Lochinvar Marlow and Tax Rort. This should be an exceptionally easy assignment and has the best draw.
Value - Fuel Tank (Race 2, No.2) - I personally have a liking for this greyhound. Honest as a days old. Can be tardy at boxrise but with any luck, this is always in the finish. Great each-way bet.
Geelong
Lay - World Champ Bill (Race 11, Box.5) - Bad box over the sprint distance. Speed all around. Marked as early favourite. For a lightly talented G5, there is bucketloads of speed everywhere and from box 5 will have to be something special to get the cash.
Best - On Holidays (Race 9, Box.8) - Not only is this my best, it is gunna be HUGE odds. Box 8 specialist, sizzling 19.43PB at the track, good beginner in box 7 to help carve across. In a talented field, in which the betting public wont look at the pink, this has to be the best each-way bet of the day.
Value - Joseph Bale (Race 8, Box.3) - Strong chaser out of form, can bounce back in this field. Look for a bold showing.
No time for Richmond tonight guys. Good luck on the punt!!
P.S. Scarlett girl won at $3.20 and did everything wrong. Dog to follow.
Last edited by Poizun; 01-08-2010 at 04:29 PM.
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