Running total on Best Bets from Jan 5th - Jan 7th (STab) based on a $50W/$100P on all selections.

Outlay - $1050
Return - $1074

Profit - $24 (+2.2%)





Warnambool



Lay - Mepunga Harmony (Race 6. No.4) - Labelled a $3.20fav according to the watchdog, I dont think this represents anywhere near the price this dog should. Regardless of its consistency and obvious liking to the Warnambool, the amount of speed inside from Lebron and Classic Diva, combined with Hollic Lodge and Selsi Flyer spearing accross, I cannot see this dog getting a clear run and this is the only way it wins.. Dont be taking anything less than $7.50.



Best - Lynlea Zac (Race 4, No.1) - To me, this look the most obvious best bet on the card. In a field which lacks any real talent, this dog has matched it with Mick The Mozz, Coulta Sky and Sydney Allen in its most recents efforts, recording a win and 2nd from those encounters. Drawn the red, it should just lead and win. Anchor it in.



Value - Mepunga Mac (Race 7, No.6) - This is a sketchy tip, but i know one thing about this dog. Look for it to be scorching home. Going through the form on this race, there does not look to be a "Tearaway" leader and this works in huge favour for this greyhound. Combine the fact he has a vacant box on his outside, and he has only missed a place once in 5 starts at track/dst, this looks to be the value runner in the card.


Maitland


Lay - Lights and Music (Race 3, No.4) - Won it's last 4..but in Dubbo...Boxes 3,5,6,7 have reasonable form in much harder company and this box does not do it favours. Drawn a little closer to the rails in its win and I believe with all the wins in a row the black sheep punters will follow the pattern and you wont get anything reasonable. Lay this dog to win.


Best - Eastley Drive (Race 9, No.3) - I originally made Late Night Out my best bet on the card, but talked myself into making this one it. Its form around The Gardens and Gosford is extremely good and the way the box draw has come out it has suited it with all the speed out wide and no speed inside should give this greyhound a clear go. The obvious danger will be Afroman, but I think at odds this is a certain each way bet, and its clearly my best of the night.


Value - Bee Tee Mac (Race 6, No.4) - Highly talented chaser who is dropping in class, finds its pet distance. Loves Maitland and he will be storming home at the end and I cant see this dog missing a drum either.


Sandown Park


Lay - Gypsy Flame (Race 6, No.4) - Impressive of the check last week, but this race is a harder commodity and has drawn much more awkward in the blue. The fact Shunted who is also a most reliable beginner is going to make its job even more hard, and this dog must lead to win. It cant come off the pace. Too tough tonight even with the watchdog putting it on top.


Best - Mystical Soul (Race 4, No.8) - Sizzling winner in a non-penalty few weeks ago, but refused to rail up last week when drawn the red. Even up the home straight was off the track. Today it draws it box, meets moderate company. Expect it to be short, but expect it to win. Anchor it all.


Value - Seleyna Magic (Race 11, No.3) - Looks for big odds for this greyhound. Labelled a $10 chance and not tipped in any selection, this dog has oodles of ability. Has been mixing form lately, but with Merrily Mack on its inside and Bomber Fury on its outer, tonight might be the night it can position well on the first turn and based on its super 27.40ish win at Horsham 4 starts back coming off the pace, this could be a suitable assignment.


Adelaide Cup Heat Predictions

Heat 1 - The key here is the check. The form around Mudeye looks amazing, but its time really arent spectacular. They are solid, without being anything special. Beating Caplay, Singing Bee and Lovely Surprise is not Adelaide Cup form. Put Springvale Dash on top. Brilliant record, brilliant PB, drawn to trail early leader and run all over it on the back straight. Rhoda Reason has loads of talent too. Watch for her flashing at the end. Mudeye guy tires into third.

Springvale Dash, Rhoda Reason, Mudeye Guy

Heat 2 - Match race between inside two boxes. Boozeroo can be dicey at box rise so I will follow the red to hold off the late charging Boozeroo late. Financial crisis has had no luck in its recent runs and put him best of the rest if you are trying some Tri's and F4s

Long Gully Jacob, Boozeroo, Financial Crisis

Heat 3 - Ridiculously hard heat to work out the form on. In what is flipping a coin virtually, Ive landed with Fevolution on top. Recent 30.01 winner by 10l from squeeze box. Second pick was a toss up between the out-of-form Tomic, Rawson Reason and Elusive Tiger. I am going to go with Rawson Reason just for the box, with Elusive Tiger late and Tomic in 4th. Taking a gamble leaving fav out of the top 3 but eh, life goes on

Fevolution, Rawson Reason, Elusive Tiger, Tomic

Interstate Challenge - What a race. Just oodles of talent. My favourite dog in racing is Turanza Bale, so I am going to stick with him. High Earner should be able to carve across to lead. Strictly Mambo flying at the end.

Turanza Bale, High Earner, Strictly Mambo

Heat 4 - Dentax Bale loves the red box and he is a clear top pick. I think Sydney Allen can lead him, but he will only be warming up off the back straight and rail right inside on the home turn drawing away to win easily. Jimmy Bothing has loads of talent.

Dentax Bale, Sydney Allen, Jimmy Bothing

Heat 5 - In what the early market's have Lady Gaga are clearcut odd-on favourite, I cant fully agree. I feel Manuel Bale will lead clearly and Id prefer to be on home. No doubting Gaga's talent, but its beginnings keep costing punters. Grand Rule to be charging late.

Manuel Bale, Lady Gaga, Grand Rule.


Dapto



Lay - Lizzie Taylor (Race 8, Box 7) - Pains me to put this as the lay but the hotdog form has her at 2.75 and thats just silly. She has a sizzling PB on the track but thats when she lead all the way from Box 1 and she is a young dog which has a habit of finding bucket loads of trouble in its runs. With Tuaki who is a proven performer from the red who really should be odds on, be wary.



Best - Destiny's Imp (Race 4, No.3) - In what should be an openish betting market, on exposed form I thought this dog was a clear cut top rater. Rattled home behind tearaway leader last start. Extremely moderate field. Should win.



Value - Spring Spartan (Race 5, No.6) - Another personal favourite of mine. Blew the start last week and found more trouble than a fat kid in a bakery. Forgive its run. Never missed a place from 3 starts at the track, honest chaser who always puts in. Awkward box but super value. Worth an each-way ticket.





Albion Park



Lay - Bellbird Park (Race 6, No.5) - Won it's last 4 in a row but today is the acid test. Meets 5x harder company and combine that with a horrid box draw and has no official form at the track, this is a hugeeee lay for me. Would not touch this dog with a 10 foot stick. Fluke win last start.



Best - Veroficious (Race 7, No.6) - Huge drop in class for this super chaser. Won a heat of the Brisbane Cup but is def better drawn close to the fence. Severe drop in class should prevail and he should def be in the winners list tonight.



Value - Count The Dough (Race 2, No.1) - I think this is a monty to lead and this chaser is an extremely underrated one. In a race with only 3 possible hopes (1,2,8), the draw is the key and I think this will lead from box to post.





Hobart



TBH, could not be bothered doing form for Hobart. Too hard!! lol.. But throw a ticket on a dog in Race 6, No.2 in Bronze Warrior. Bad numeric form but is usually a fairly reliable beginner and from the good draw could run a cheeky race at nice odds.



Happy punting!!